Weekend #4 of 2016 is looking like $118 million for the top 12 films this weekend (see comparisons below).
Dirty Grandpa from Lionsgate should open with $12.0 million Friday-Sunday. The film is on track for around $31 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film could bring in $18 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $49 million.
The Boy from STX should open with $11.0 million Friday-Sunday. The film is on track for around $22 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film could bring in $9 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $31 million.
The 5th Wave from Sony should open with $10.5 million Friday-Sunday. The film is on track for around $23 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film could bring in $30 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $53 million.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND January 22-24, 2016 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| Dirty Grandpa | LG | R | n/a | 12.0 | 31 | |
| The Boy | STX | PG13 | n/a | 11.0 | 22 | |
| The 5th Wave | Sony | PG13 | 29% | 10.5 | 23 | |
Returning film chart:
|
RETURNING FILMS January 22-24, 2016 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
| The Revenant | Fox | -31% | 21.9 | 180 | ||
| Ride Along 2 | Uni | -52% | 16.8 | 102 | ||
| Star Wars: The Force Awakens | Dis | -37% | 16.6 | 945 | ||
| 13 Hours | Par | -38% | 10.0 | 50 | ||
| Daddy’s Home | Par | -45% | 5.2 | 157 | ||
| Norm of the North | LG | -41% | 4.1 | 13 | ||
| The Big Short | Par | -27% | 3.9 | 65 | ||
| Sisters | Uni | -35% | 3.0 | 96 | ||
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $106 million total, ranking 39th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $141 million (while 2014 was $98 million, 2013 was $88 million and 2012 was $98 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a decent $118 million, up +11% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend but down -16% from the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
1.23.2015
Boy Next Door Uni R Jennifer Lopez Ryan Guzman
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $15 Actual: $15
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $33 Actual: $35
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $17
Mortdecai LG/Sum R Johnny Depp Gyneth Paltrow
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $9 Actual: $4
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $5 Actual: $8
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $40
Strange Magic Dis PG
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $9 Actual: $6
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $14 Actual: $12
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $1
1.24.2014
I, Frankenstein LG/Sum PG13 Aaron Eckhart Yvonne Strahovski
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $16 Actual: $9
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $18 Actual: $19
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $52
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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