Weekend #42 of 2015 is looking like $125 million for the top 12 films this weekend, somewhat above the norm for this weekend (see comparisons below).
Goosebumps from Sony should open with a $27.5 million weekend. The film is on track for around $95 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $185 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $280 million.
Bridge of Spies from Disney should open with a $17.0 million weekend. The film is on track for around $65 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $115 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $180 million.
Crimson Peak from Universal should open with a $15.5 million weekend. The film is on track for around $39 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $51 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $90 million.
Woodlawn from PureFlix should open with a $3.5 million weekend. The film is on track for around $7 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $1 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $8 million.
NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND October 16-18, 2015 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
Goosebumps | Sony | PG | 77% | 27.5 | 95 | |
Bridge of Spies | Dis | PG13 | 91% | 17.0 | 65 | |
Crimson Peak | Uni | R | 71% | 15.5 | 39 | |
Woodlawn | Pure | PG | n/a | 3.5 | 7 |
Returning film chart:
RETURNING FILMS October 16-18, 2015 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
The Martian | Fox | -33% | 24.9 | 211 | ||
Hotel Transylvania 2 | Sony | -44% | 11.4 | 170 | ||
Pan | WB | -51% | 7.5 | 57 | ||
The Intern | WB | -26% | 6.5 | 71 | ||
Sicario | LG | -42% | 4.4 | 50 | ||
Maze Runner: Scorch Trials | Fox | -44% | 3.0 | 81 |
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $111 million total (Friday-Sunday), ranking 37th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $121 million (while 2013 was $93 million, 2012 was $121 million and 2011 was $109 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a decent $125 million, up +13% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and up a smaller +3% from the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
10.17.2014
Fury Sony R Brad Pitt Logan Lerman
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $32 Actual: $24
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $84 Actual: $86
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $126
The Book of Life Fox PG
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $17 Actual: $17
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $57 Actual: $50
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $47
The Best of Me Rel PG13 James Marsden Michelle Monaghan
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $16 Actual: $10
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $23 Actual: $27
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $9
Men, Women & Children Par R Adam Sandler Judy Greer
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $1 Actual: $0.3
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $n/a Actual: $1
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $2
10.18.2013
Escape Plan LG/Sum R Sylvester Stallone Arnold Schwarzenegger
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $9 Actual: $10
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $28 Actual: $25
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $112
Carrie Sony R Chloe Moretz Judy Greer
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $25 Actual: $16
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $39 Actual: $35
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $50
The Fifth Estate Dis R Benedict Cumberbatch Daniel Bruhl
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $4 Actual: $2
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $3 Actual: $3
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $5
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.