Weekend #41 of 2015 is looking like $112 million for the top 12 films this weekend, very close to the norm for this weekend but below last year’s strong weekend (see comparisons below).
Pan from Warner Brothers should open with a $16.5 million weekend. The film is on track for around $70 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $210 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $280 million.
The Walk from Sony should open with a $7.5 million first wide weekend, which would take it to $10.3 million through Sunday. The film is on track for around $35 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $65 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $100 million.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND October 9-11, 2015 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| Pan | WB | PG13 | 38% | 16.5 | 70 | |
| The Walk | Sony | R | 87% | 7.5 | 35 | |
Returning film chart:
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RETURNING FILMS October 9-11, 2015 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
| The Martian | Fox | -36% | 34.7 | 175 | ||
| Hotel Transylvania 2 | Sony | -37% | 20.9 | 180 | ||
| The Intern | WB | -35% | 8.4 | 67 | ||
| Sicario | LG | -42% | 7.1 | 49 | ||
| Maze Runner: Scorch Trials | Fox | -46% | 4.2 | 81 | ||
| Black Mass | WB | -41% | 3.5 | 69 | ||
| Everest | Uni | -40% | 3.4 | 59 | ||
| The Visit | Uni | -43% | 2.3 | 65 | ||
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $110 million total (Friday-Sunday), ranking 38th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $136 million (while 2013 was $107 million, 2012 was $121 million and 2011 was $77 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a fairly typical $112 million, up +2% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend but down -17% from the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
10.10.2014
Dracula Untold Uni PG13 Luke Evans Sarah Gadon
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $20 Actual: $24
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $61 Actual: $56
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $159
Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day Dis PG Steve Carell Jennifer Garner
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $18 Actual: $18
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $67 Actual: $67
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $34
The Judge WB R Robert Downey Jr Robert Duvall
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $16 Actual: $13
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $47 Actual: $47
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $37
Addicted LG/Sum R Sharon Leal Boris Kodjoe
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $6 Actual: $7
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $15 Actual: $17
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $0
10.11.2013
Captain Phillips Sony PG13 Tom Hanks
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $23 Actual: $26
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $100 Actual: $107
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $112
Machete Kills Open Road R Danny Trejo Michelle Rodriguez
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $8 Actual: $4
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $6 Actual: $8
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $7
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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