Weekend #47 of 2015 is looking like a decent $202 million for the top 12 films this weekend, up moderately from the norm for this weekend (see comparisons below).
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 2 from Lionsgate should open with a $126.0 million weekend. The film is on track for around $360 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film could bring in $445 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $805 million.
That would be a touch below the $865 million worldwide for The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (released 11.22.2013 with $425 million domestic and $440 million overseas) but above the $755 million worldwide for The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 (released 11.21.2014 with $337 million domestic and $418 million overseas) and above the $694 million worldwide for The Hunger Games (released 3.23.2012 with $408 million domestic and $286 million overseas).
The Night Before from Sony should open with a $16.5 million weekend. The film is on track for around $65 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $25 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $90 million.
The Secret in Their Eyes from STX Entertainment should open with an $8.5 million weekend. The film is on track for around $20 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $9 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $29 million.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND November 20-22, 2015 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 2 | LG | PG13 | 72% | 126.0 | 360 | |
| The Night Before | Sony | R | 69% | 16.5 | 65 | |
| The Secret in Their Eyes | STX | PG13 | n/A | 8.5 | 20 | |
Returning film chart:
|
RETURNING FILMS November 20-22, 2015 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
| Spectre | Sony | -49% | 17.1 | 212 | ||
| Peanuts Movie | Fox | -44% | 13.5 | 146 | ||
| The Martian | Fox | -31% | 4.6 | 229 | ||
| Love the Coopers | CBS | -46% | 4.5 | 20 | ||
| Bridge of Spies | Dis | -30% | 3.0 | 75 | ||
| The 33 | WB | -47% | 3.0 | 17 | ||
| Goosebumps | Sony | -41% | 2.8 | 87 | ||
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $190 million total (Friday-Sunday), ranking 2nd of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $187 million (while 2013 was $218 million, 2012 was $200 million and 2011 was $155 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a decent $202 million, up +6% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and up +8% from the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
11.21.2014
Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 1 LG PG13 Jennifer Lawrence Josh Hutcherson
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $161 Actual: $122
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $368 Actual: $337
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $415
11.22.2013
Hunger Games: Catching Fire LG PG13 Jennifer Lawrence Josh Hutcherson
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $171 Actual: $158
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $488 Actual: $425
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $440
Dallas Buyers Club Uni R Matthew McConaughey Jared Leto
Opening Weekend — Forecast: n/a Actual: $3
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $23 Actual: $27
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $28
Delivery Man Dis PG13 Vince Vaughn Cobie Smulders
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $11 Actual: $8
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $37 Actual: $31
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $21
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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