Weekend #19 of 2016 forecasts for films opening wide and major returning films:
NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND May 6-8, 2016 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||||
Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | Overseas Total Projection | Worldwide Total Projection | |||||
Captain America: Civil War | Dis | PG13 | 93% | 206.5 | 518 | 595 | 1,113 |
Note: Although critic reviews are not related to the size of the opening weekend, they are significantly correlated with the size of the declines in the opening weeks of a movie. The Domestic Total is a very early ShowBuzzDaily projection of the total North American gross, based on the Weekend Forecasts. The Overseas Total is also a ShowBuzzDaily projection based on similar movies and their performance outside North America.
TOP RETURNING FILMS May 6-8, 2016 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
The Jungle Book | Dis | -48% | 22.7 | 365 | ||
Mother’s Day | OpenR | -26% | 6.2 | 28 | ||
The Huntsman: Winter’s War | Uni | -56% | 4.3 | 54 | ||
Keanu | WB | -58% | 4.0 | 26 | ||
Ratchet & Clank | Focus | -55% | 2.2 | 10 |
A look at last week’s opening weekend forecast accuracy:
- Keanu: $15.5 million predicted and $9.5 million actual
- Mother’s Day: $10.5 million predicted and $8.4 million actual
- Ratchet & Clank: $5.5 million predicted and $4.9 million actual
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.