Weekend #8 of 2014 is looking like an okay $110 million for the top 12 films, 4% above the average for this weekend the past several years. Two new movies look to open very quietly, while The Lego Movie remains the only real force in theaters currently.
Opening at around 2,500 theaters Friday (slightly below the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the last two years), Pompeii from Sony/TriStar should average a sub-par $4,300 per theater for the weekend (for a weak $10.8 million opening weekend). [The average wide-release film the past two years has had an three-day opening weekend of $5,300 per theater.] No reviews at RottenTomatoes yet. Pompeii is on track for around $27 million domestic.
Opening at a similar 2,500 theaters Friday, 3 Days to Kill from Relativity should average a similar $4,100 per theater for the weekend (for a $10.2 million opening weekend). No reviews yet for this film either. 3 Days to Kill is on track for around $20 million domestic.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND February 21-23, 2014 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| Pompeii | Sony | PG13 | N/A | 10.8 | 27 | |
| 3 Days to Kill | Rel | PG13 | N/A | 10.2 | 20 | |
Among the holdovers, The Lego Movie reigns supreme.
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RETURNING FILMS February 21-23, 2014 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | |||
| Weekend Forecast | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | ||||
| The Lego Movie | WB | -32% | 33.7 | 270 | |
| About Last Night | Sony | -52% | 12.3 | 98 | |
| RoboCop | Sony | -50% | 10.8 | 64 | |
| The Monuments Men | Sony | -42% | 8.9 | 83 | |
| Endless Love | Uni | -61% | 5.2 | 30 | |
| Ride Along | Uni | -45% | 4.8 | 134 | |
| Frozen 3D | Dis | -33% | 4.2 | 380 | |
| Winter’s Tale | WB | -55% | 3.3 | 15 | |
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $106 million total, ranking 39th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $88 million (while 2012 was $114 million, 2011 was $96 million and 2010 was $107 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a fairly typical $110 million, 4% above the multi-year average for the comparable weekend but 24% above the same very weak weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years
2.22.2013
Snitch LG/Sum PG13 The Rock Susan Sarandon
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $11 Actual: $13
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $44 Actual: $43
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $0
Dark Skies Weins PG13 Keri Russell Dakota Goyo
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $9 Actual: $8
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $19 Actual: $17
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $8
2.24.2012
Act of Valor REL R Roselyn Sanchez
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $17 Actual: $24
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $76 Actual: $70
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $10
Tyler Perry’s Good Deeds LG PG13 Tyler Perry Thandie Newton
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $18 Actual: $16
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $38 Actual: $35
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $0
Wanderlust UNI R Paul Rudd Jennifer Aniston
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $10 Actual: $7
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $23 Actual: $17
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $4
Gone SUMMIT PG13 Amanda Seyfried Jennifer Carpenter
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $6 Actual: $5
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $12 Actual: $12
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $5
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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