Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, Weekend #15 of 2013 is now looking like $110 million for the top 12 films, up slightly from yesterday’s estimate and now up a few percentage points from the same weekend in prior years.
Opening at 3,003 theaters Friday, 42 from Warner Brothers grossed $9.1 million Friday and $11.4 million Saturday and is now on track for a $27.3 million opening weekend (well above the $19.0 million ShowbuzzDaily forecast). The film is averaging a very solid $9,100 per theater for the weekend (well above the $5,333 opening weekend average for all wide-release films the last two years). 42 is headed for $84 million total domestic.
Opening at 3,402 theaters Friday, Scary Movie V from Weinstein/Dimension grossed $5.5 million Friday and $6.0 million Saturday and is now on pace for a $15.2 million opening weekend (below the $16.5 million ShowbuzzDaily forecast earlier this week). The film is averaging a lame $4,450 per theater for the weekend. Scary Movie V should finish with $33 million total domestic (well below Scary Movie 4, which grossed $90.7 million domestic when it opened to $40.2 million seven years ago, April 14-16, 2006).
| Weekend 15 April 12-14, 2013 | ($ millions) | ||||||
| Pre-Wknd Showbuzz Forecast | Early Weekend Estimate | Weekend Studio Estimate | Actual Fri–Sat Gross | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||
| 42 | WB | [19.0] | 27.6 | 27.3 | 9.1–11.4 | 84 | |
| Scary Movie V | Weins | [16.5] | 14.6 | 15.2 | 5.5–6.0 | 33 | |
| The Croods | DW/Fox | [14.3] | 11.5 | 13.2 | 3.1–6.2 | 173 | |
| G.I. Joe: Retaliation | Par | [11.8] | 9.7 | 10.8 | 2.9–4.9 | 129 | |
| Evil Dead | Sony | [10.4] | 9.1 | 9.5 | 3.2–4.0 | 60 | |
| Jurassic Park 3D | Uni | [9.3] | 8.6 | 8.8 | 2.4–4.0 | 53 | |
| Olympus Has Fallen | FilmDis | [6.6] | 6.6 | 7.3 | 2.0–3.3 | 96 | |
| Oz the Great and Powerful | Dis | [5.1] | 4.4 | 4.9 | 1.2–2.3 | 233 | |
| Tyler Perry’s Temptation | LG | [4.7] | 4.1 | 4.5 | 1.4–2.1 | 53 | |
| Place Beyond the Pines | Focus | — | 4.0 | 4.1 | 1.2–1.7 | — | |
| The Host | OpenRoad | [2.5] | 2.2 | 2.4 | .75–1.1 | 25 | |
| The Call | Sony | — | 1.7 | 1.9 | .56–n/a | 53 | |
Note: The table above summarizes an early look at the weekend. The first column is a reminder of each film’s ShowBuzzDaily Forecast for the weekend (in brackets). The second column, on which the films are sorted, displays the new weekend projection for each film, based on the Friday numbers (the third column). The final column is a preliminary estimate of the ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Total number for the film’s total run in North America. A “++” indicates the Domestic number has been upgraded; a “–” indicates a downgrade.
In case you missed them, click to see this week’s Weekend Predictions.
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are now looking like $110 million total Friday-Sunday, up from yesterday’s $104 million estimate and now up 1% from the four-year average for the comparable weekend and up 3% from the same weekend last year.
| WEEKEND #15 | ($ millions) | ||
| Weekend Volume: Top 12 Films | Top Movies Opening Each Weekend (Fri-Sun only) | ||
| 2013 | $110 | 42 $27, Scary Movie V $15 | |
| 2012 | $107 | Three Stooges $17,Cabin in the Woods $15, Lockout $6 | |
| 2011 | $117 | Rio $39, Scream 4 $19, The Conspirator $3 | |
| 2010 | $112 | Kick-Ass $20, Death at a Funeral $16 | |
| 2009 | $100 | Hannah Montana $32, Observe and Report $11, Dragonball $5 | |
| Avg 2009-12 | $109 | ||
Check back later for the International Box Office report.
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