Weekend #17 of 2016 forecasts for films opening wide and major returning films: NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND April 22-24, 2016 Critics Positive ($ millions) Opening Weekend Forecast Domestic Total Projection Overseas Total Projection Worldwide Total Projection The Huntsman: Winter’s War Uni PG13 19% 24.0 64 195 259 Note: Although critic reviews are not related to the […]

  OPENINGS:  LOGAN (TSG/20th) was in full control of the weekend at $85.3M, and the most impressive part of that may be the 5% Saturday drop, an even better hold than Deadpool‘s 10% and the 12% for The Wolverine, let alone the 22% for the last X-Men movie.  That suggests excellent word of mouth, and although […]

  OPENINGS:  ALIEN: COVENANT (TSG/20th) slumped almost as badly on its 2d day of release as the unpopular Prometheus (22% vs 25%), and the result was a lackluster $36M weekend in the US–and even that number includes an aggressive estimate for Sunday.  Worse yet, with Covenant now playing in every major international market except China […]

> The past week (seven days ending Sunday) is flat versus last year’s comparable week.  Year-to-date box office is now down 4.0% versus last year.  The Debt opened on Wednesday and is currently on track for $38 million final in North America, with some upside possible depending on the second week.  The other two new films this […]

>Among Tyler Perry movies that feature his Madea character, BIG HAPPY FAMILY is looking relatively weak, but it may have a big Easter Sunday. Other pictures likely to benefit from family crowds include RIO, HOP and SOUL SURFER. On the other hand, the teen girl crowd typically turns out opening night, which could give WATER FOR […]

>The Worldwide Box Office chart now tracks the movies released in the U.S. the last three months.  This will provide a clearer view of the marketplace at any point of the year.  Remember that each week going forward, movies will be added to the ranking and the oldest movies will be deleted as they fall out […]

>The worldwide grosses rankings have been updated, and Rango (Paramount) now claims the top spot, passing The Green Hornet (Sony), as expected in last week’s international report.  But we suspect that Rango still has some upside — the overseas number should easily exceed the movie’s domestic number, with $40-50 million more to come from outside […]

> Full weekend drops can be expected to hit a little harder than usual this week, because last week’s holiday weekend boosted Sunday receipts. TRANSFORMERS 3 had a second Friday about midway between those of its two predecessors ($14.9M compared to $10.8M and $18M, respectively), with a decline that was slightly worse than, but in […]