Based on Friday’s grosses, Weekend #13 of 2013 is relatively close to the comparable weekend the past few years: about $139 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, compared to a $143 million average for this weekend the past few years.
Opening at 3,719 theaters Thursday with $10.5 million, G.I. Joe: Retaliation from Paramount grossed $15.5 million Friday and is on track for a $38 million opening three-day weekend (nailing the $38 million ShowbuzzDaily forecast). The film is averaging a solid $10,200 per theater for the weekend (double the $5,333 opening weekend average for all wide-release films the last two years), while critical sentiment is a weak 29% positive. With about $49 million Thursday-Sunday, Retaliation is headed for $120 million total domestic.
Opening at 2,047 theaters Friday, Tyler Perry’s Temptation: Confessions of a Marriage Counselor from Lionsgate grossed $9.4 million Friday and is on pace for a $22 million opening weekend (comfortably above the $17.5 million ShowbuzzDaily forecast earlier this week). The film is averaging $10,700 per theater for the weekend. Critics are predictably hostile: 6% positive reviews at RottenTomatoes. Temptation should finish with $56 million total domestic.
Opening at 3,202 theaters Friday, The Host from Open Road Films whiffed with $5.5 million Friday and is on track for $13.2 million opening weekend (a touch below the $14.5 million ShowbuzzDaily forecast earlier this week). The film is averaging a very poor $4,100 per theater for the weekend. Critics are very negative: 12% positive reviews at RottenTomatoes. The Host should finish with $27 million total domestic.
| Weekend 13 March 29-31, 2013 | ($ millions) | |||||
| Pre-Wknd Showbuzz Forecast | Early Weekend Estimate | Actual Friday Gross | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||
| G.I. Joe: Retaliation | Par | [38.0] | 38.0 | 15.5 | 120 | |
| The Croods | DW/Fox | [28.1] | 27.5 | 10.7 | 163 | |
| Tyler Perry’s Temptation | LG | [17.5] | 22.0 | 9.4 | 56 | |
| The Host | OpenRoad | [14.5] | 13.2 | 5.5 | 27 | |
| Olympus Has Fallen | FilmDis | [15.8] | 13.5 | 4.8 | 86 | |
| Oz the Great and Powerful | Dis | [12.7] | 11.3 | 4.3 | 235 | |
| The Call | Sony | [4.6] | 4.5 | 1.7 | 50 | |
| Admission | Focus | [3.7] | 3.1 | 1.2 | 18 | |
| Spring Breakers | A24 | [2.2] | 2.5 | 1.1 | 17 | |
| Incredible Burt Wonderstone | WB | [2.2] | 1.4 | .49 | 23 | |
Note: The table above summarizes an early look at the weekend. The first column is a reminder of each film’s ShowBuzzDaily Forecast for the weekend (in brackets). The second column, on which the films are sorted, displays the new weekend projection for each film, based on the Friday numbers (the third column). The final column is a preliminary estimate of the ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Total number for the film’s total run in North America. A “++” indicates the Domestic number has been upgraded; a “–” indicates a downgrade.
In case you missed them, click to see this week’s Weekend Predictions.
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are looking like $139 million total Friday-Sunday, down a scant 3% from the four-year average for the comparable weekend and down a negligible 1% from the same weekend last year.
| WEEKEND #13 | ($ millions) | ||
| Weekend Volume: Top 12 Films | Top Movies Opening Each Weekend (Fri-Sun only) | ||
| 2013 | $139 | G.I. Joe: Retaliation $38, TP’s Temptation $22, The Host $13 | |
| 2012 | $140 | Wrath of the Titans $33.5, Mirror Mirror $18 | |
| 2011 | $114 | Hop $37.5, Source Code $15, Insidious $13 | |
| 2010 | $169 | Clash of the Titans $61, TP’s Why Did I Get Married Too $29, Last Song $16 | |
| 2009 | $149 | Fast & Furious $71, Adventureland $6 | |
| Avg 2009-12 | $143 | ||
Check back tomorrow for more complete Weekend Studio Estimates based on Saturday’s actual box office, as well as the International Box Office report.
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