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Weekend Studio Estimates 6.5-7.2015

Posted June 7, 2015 by Mitch Metcalf

Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, weekend #23 of 2015 looks like $128 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, a little worse than it looked yesterday and down significantly the norm for this weekend as the lame summer continues.   Opening at 3,711 theaters Friday, Spy from Fox is now on track for a $30.0 million opening three-day weekend (below […]

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Weekend Studio Estimates 8.21-23.2015

Posted August 23, 2015 by Mitch Metcalf

Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, weekend #34 of 2015 now looks like $92 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, somewhat above the norm for this weekend (thanks mostly to Straight Outta Compton and definitely not the three openers) but below the same weekend last year (see track below). Opening at 2,766 theaters Friday, Sinister 2 from […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions 10.16-18.2015

Posted October 14, 2015 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #42 of 2015 is looking like $125 million for the top 12 films this weekend, somewhat above the norm for this weekend (see comparisons below). Goosebumps from Sony should open with a $27.5 million weekend. The film is on track for around $95 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $185 million, giving it a worldwide box […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “In the Heart Of the Sea” Founders As Audiences Await The Force

Posted December 12, 2015 by Mitch Salem

  Tossing IN THE HEART OF THE SEA (Village Roadshow/Warners) onto what is historically one of the weakest box office weekends of the year–and this year also just days ahead of the arrival of cinema’s Death Star–was a Hail Mary, and it’s not paying off.  Based on preliminary numbers at Deadline, it earned $4M on […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions 1.29-31.2016

Posted January 27, 2016 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #5 of 2016 is looking like $129 million for the top 12 films this weekend, much stronger than normal (see comparisons below). Kung Fu Panda 3 from Fox and DreamWorks Animation should open with $49.5 million Friday-Sunday. The film is on track for around $165 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film could bring in $560 million, giving it […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “X-Men: Apocalypse” Underwhelms, “Alice 2″” Flops

Posted May 28, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  Franchises are the lifeblood of Hollywood, so it has to chill studios to see three of those entries falter in a single 2-weekend period, especially since the stakes are higher for this week’s arrivals than last week’s Neighbors 2. Based on the preliminary $27M Friday number at Deadline, X-MEN: APOCALYPSE (TSG/20th) is running almost […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Star Trek Beyond” Less Than Bold, “Lights Out” Bright, “Ice Age” Frozen Stiff

Posted July 23, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  STAR TREK BEYOND (Skydance/Alibaba/Huahua/Paramount) is showing a fair franchise hold by the standards of this summer.  Based on preliminary numbers at Deadline, it had a $23M opening day (including $5.5M from Thursday), down about 26% from the start of 2009’s Star Trek reboot.  (2013’s Into Darkness opened on a Thursday, changing its weekend dynamic.)  That suggests a $57M […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 12/4/16

Posted December 4, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  The big studios wanted no part of the weekend after Thanksgiving, and the only arrivals were a pair of fringe indies.  Even for a micro-budgeted horror product, INCARNATE (High Top/Blumhouse/Universal) was a flop at $2.7M. In a barely-wide release at 639 theatres, the Christian-themed BELIEVE (Freestyle) attracted no one outside the flock (and […]

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