>Ah, the dog days of summer in August.  It’s the time when studios start dumping movies.  Sure there can be a surprise in this month (see District 9 two years ago this weekend), but the lower box office volume in August simply works against most films succeeding.  A quick look at the numbers: a typical […]

  OPENINGS:  INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR (Screen Gems/Sony) reaffirmed the strength of the low-budget horror genre with a $32.7M start, better than the $29.6M launch of 2018’s The Last Key (which didn’t feature the full original cast).  Red Door should reach $65M+ in the US, guaranteeing profitability on a reported $16M production budget and relatively […]

>The tenth weekend of the year should generate about $122 million for the top 12 films, a slightly better than normal weekend for the second weekend in March — up 4% from last year’s comparable weekend and up 10% from the four-year average for this weekend.  John Carter will be the top opener, but it […]

  OPENINGS:  Pundits have been quick to celebrate the current fade of the comic book genre, but the truth is that Hollywood hasn’t yet found anything to reliably replace it at the top of the box office.  After years of Marvel sagas kicking off the summer movie season with extravagant grosses, this year the studio’s […]

> The 17th weekend of 2012 is looking like a poor $97 million for the Top 12 films, down 33% from this weekend last year and down 28% from the four-year average for the same weekend.  Think Like a Man should retain the top spot in its second weekend with $18 million, declining about 46% […]

>After a pretty long string of accurate box office predictions, ShowBuzzDaily really missed the boat on The Lion King in 3D.  We were debating between an $11 million or $15 million forecast and decided to go with the lower number.  But wow was there interest in the 3D version of the Disney classic: an estimated […]

>The weekend studio estimates (based on Friday and Saturday actuals and projections for Sunday) are coming in about the same as the weekend numbers posted yesterday (based on Friday actuals only).  The box office volume for the top 12 films is now looking like $117 million for the weekend, up 14% from last year’s weekend […]

>Based on Friday and Saturday box office (and estimated Sunday numbers), The Help continues at #1, down an impressive 29% from last weekend.  All the openers are very weak, with per theater numbers well below average.  However, the theater counts come with a big asterisk.  The counts are accurate for Friday, but the Saturday counts […]