Based on Friday’s grosses, Weekend #29 of 2013 looks like a decent $181 million for the top 12 films, up slightly from yesterday’s estimate and now up 3% from the average for this weekend over the past several years (but still down significantly from last year’s same weekend which was dominated by the opening of The […]

  Here’s an instructive piece of box office math, courtesy of Disney and The Lone Ranger.  Ranger cost (including worldwide marketing) about $350M all told, and it’s going to have global theatrical revenues of about $240M.  Disney is reporting that the movie will end up losing around $190M, which is $80M higher than the usual […]

Based on Friday’s grosses, Weekend #36 of 2013 looks like a very average $62 million for the top 12 films, down 5% from the average post-Labor Day weekends the past few years. Riddick and The Butler did not hit our more aggressive forecasts, although the other films were close to our projections. Opening at 3,107 […]

  If preliminary numbers at Deadline hold, GRAVITY (Warners) will own the new record for all-time best October opening.  It had a superb $23.5M Saturday, up 35% from its $17.5M opening day, for what should be a $55M+ weekend.  That would handily break the current October record of $52.6M for Paranormal Activity 3.  More importantly, […]

  OPENINGS:  There are still several days before THOR: THE DARK WORLD (Disney) reaches these shores, and it hasn’t opened yet in other major countries like China or Japan, but it’s already looking like a blockbuster, with a huge $109.4M start in 36 territories.  The first Thor made a total of $268.3M internationally, so the […]

  As usual, Thanksgiving Day itself was down for many films.  However, that didn’t keep the holiday’s pair of blockbusters from rewriting the record books. THE HUNGER GAMES: CATCHING FIRE (Lionsgate) set a new Thanksgiving Day record with $14.9M, tearing past the $13.1M set by Toy Story 2.  With the meat of the holiday weekend […]

No changes in the studio rankings this week, but four studios had $100+ million weeks: Paramount (with the release of Anchorman 2), Disney (the release of Saving Mr. Banks and continued international strength of Frozen), Sony (the release of American Hustle) and Warner Brothers (continued overseas prowess of The Hobbit despite a reduction in the domestic projection for the film).  For a […]

Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, weekend #2 of 2014 looks like $124 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, down 10% from the average for the same weekend the past few years (but better than we forecast earlier this week and now 2% above last year’s comparable weekend). Opening at 2,876 theaters Friday, Lone Survivor from Universal […]