THE DARK KNIGHT RISES (Warners) appears to be headed for its 3rd (and probably last) weekend in 1st place, according to preliminary numbers at Deadline.  The Caped Crusader’s Friday is estimated over $10M, which should mean a weekend around $35M.  That would bring its total by Sunday night to over $350M, which would tie […]

  OPENINGS:  THE POSSESSION (Lionsgate) will be a convincing winner over the holiday weekend, based on a Friday that more than doubled the gross of the #2 movie.  Its $6.1M was also 2/3 better than last year’s Labor Day Friday #1, The Help (which was in its 4th week of release at that point).  Possession could […]

After three tough weekends with 20-25% declines versus prior years, the 39th weekend of 2012 is looking like $101 million for the Top 12 films Friday-Sunday, up 13% from the same weekend last year.  Sony opened two films to two completely different segments: Hotel Transylvania opened very well to kids and families, while Looper opened […]

  Ugliness abounds, unless your title is Argo. OPENINGS:  CLOUD ATLAS (Warners) will be the tallest tree in the weekend’s bonzai forest, but that’s small comfort for a movie that cost $100M (plus heavy marketing) and probably won’t make much more than $10M for the weekend, based on its $3.5M Friday.  This, sadly, is why […]

Based on grosses from Wednesday and Thanksgiving, Weekend #47 is on pace to exceed the multi-year average for this weekend by 10% — exactly on the pace we forecast earlier in the week.  Breaking Dawn Part 2 is running slightly behind our forecast pace in this second weekend, but still clearly #1 for the weekend. […]

Based on Friday’s grosses, Weekend #51 is on pace for a horrifying $98 million.  This weekend of the year is tricky because sometimes it contains Christmas Day itself (such as 2009 when this weekend was December 25-27 and totaled a massive $260 million) and other times it is just a slow warm up to the […]

Updated international box office chart below.  The Hobbit (+$97 million overseas since last week) and Life of Pi (+$82 million) are the big movers this week. New entrants to the chart include The Impossible at #31, Texas Chainsaw at #41, and Promised Land at #65.  With significant (and growing overseas business) the Spanish-produced Impossible is the one film in this week’s crop that can move up […]

  Preliminary numbers at Deadline give the Valentine’s Day boxoffice edge to, appropriately enough, the Nicholas Sparks sudsfest SAFE HAVEN (Relativity), probably at the expense of many unwilling spouses and significant others.  The soap is reported to have taken in around $10M for the day.  It will probably fall as the weekend shifts from Valentine’s […]