Let’s start with something simple:  anyone who claims to have reliable knowledge about the profitability of a specific film, without having detailed access to its production budgets, financing documents and key talent agreements (virtually all confidential), misleads themselves and their readers. The financing and accounting of films is probably more complicated now than it’s […]

In the battle for second place in the ShowbuzzDaily Summer Movie Draft, very little changed the past week.  Team Weil’s slate tacked on $41.6 million the past seven days, while Team Salem added $40.9 million.  Weil remains $69 million ahead of Salem ($1.004 billion to $935 million for the entire summer). In the next week […]

Two films had big very large gains overseas the past week: Resident Evil: Retribution (up $53 million to $103 million overseas to date) and Expendables 2 (up $28 million since last week to $186 million overseas to date).  The fifth in the Resident Evil series now stands at an estimated $145 million worldwide, with at least another $100 million in upside […]

The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume All films in wide release playing between October 15 and October 21 grossed a decent $158 million, up 4% from the four-year average for the week and up 13% from the same week last year.    The past six weeks are now 4% above the four-year average box […]

The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume All films in wide release playing between November 12 and November 18 grossed an amazing $300 million, up 28% from the four-year average for the week and up 24% from the same week last year.    The past six weeks are now 13% above the four-year average and […]

Latest International Box Office overview.

Based on Friday’s grosses, Weekend #1 of 2013 is on pace for $124 million, very much line with the comparable weekend in previous years.  Texas Chainsaw 3D is opening somewhat better than forecast ($22.5 million versus our forecast of $17.8 million), while Django Unchained continues to perform solidly. In limited release, The Impossible is stronger than forecast […]

Based on Saturday’s grosses, Weekend #6 of 2013 is looking a little stronger than it did yesterday (now $89 million for the top 12 films versus the $84 million estimate based only on Friday’s results).  But this is still over 46% behind the pace for the same weekend the last few years.       […]