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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS April 12-14

Posted April 10, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

The box office this weekend should be slightly off the pace for this weekend the last few years, cooling off a bit after a few solid weekends.  Two new films open, and it appears 42 will lead the way with just under $20 million. Opening at around 2,900 theaters Friday (a very average number), 42 from […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Fate” Slows But Outraces “Unforgettable,” “The Promise,” and the Rest

Posted April 22, 2017 by Mitch Salem

  Considering the almost laughably low level of the competition it faced, THE FATE OF THE FURIOUS (Universal) didn’t hold up well on its 2d Friday.  Preliminary numbers at Deadline have the day at $11.4M, down 75% from last week’s opening day.  That’s worse than the 72% Friday-to-Friday drop for Furious 7 (which was coming […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 10.16.2022

Posted October 16, 2022 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  HALLOWEEN ENDS (Universal, also on Peacock) underperformed badly with $41.3M, about 25% below pre-release expectations, and 17% under the $49.4M start for last year’s Halloween Kills, despite a stronger Thursday night start than Kills ($5.4M vs $4.9M).  The excuse de jour is the Peacock release, which would be dubious in any case considering […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 8/14/16

Posted August 14, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  The SAUSAGE PARTY (Annapurna/Columbia/Sony) audience was somewhat frontloaded, with a 16% Saturday decline, but the weekend total of $33.6M was still outstanding, the best starring debut for Seth Rogen since the original Neighbors, and higher than the $33M 5-day opening for This Is The End (which opened on a Wednesday).  There’s certainly nothing […]

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BEHIND THE FRIDAY BOX OFFICE – 11/8/13

Posted November 9, 2013 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  The $31.6M first day for THOR: THE DARK WORLD (Disney) was about 24% higher than the $25.5M opening for the first Thor, an increment likely to reduce as the movie’s run continues, since sequels tend to be more front-loaded.  A $200M US total would be more than 10% up from Thor‘s $181M.  Where […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions 9.11-13.2015

Posted September 9, 2015 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #37 of 2015 is looking like $65 million for the top 12 films this weekend, below the norm for this weekend (see comparisons below). The Visit from Universal should open with a $16.5 million opening weekend. Mediocre reviews so far: 53% positive at RottenTomatoes. The Visit is on track for around $44 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $50 […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 1/8/17

Posted January 8, 2017 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  As we had forecast on Friday night, the margin of victory for the weekend box office was razor-thin, and we won’t really know who won until final numbers are released tomorrow.  For now, HIDDEN FIGURES (20th) is $172K below Rogue One at $21.8M, but Disney’s Rogue One projection relies on a speculatively strong […]

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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS August 31-September 2

Posted August 29, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #35 of 2012 looks fairly similar to the Labor Day weekends over the past few years.  Only about $81 million for the top 12 films this weekend (defined as the three-day Friday-Sunday portion we always concentrate on), and very little chance of any new film breaking out on what is traditionally a very rough […]

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