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Weekend Box Office Predictions 3.6-8.2015

Posted March 4, 2015 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #10 of 2015 is looking like $93 million for the top 12 films this weekend, significantly below the normal volume for this weekend (see track below). Opening at around 3,000 theaters Friday (slightly above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the last two years), Chappie from Sony should average $7,300 per theater for […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Minions” In Control

Posted July 11, 2015 by Mitch Salem

  MINIONS (Illumination/Universal) was expected to enfold the weekend box office in its little yellow fingers, and so it is.  Preliminary numbers at Deadline give it a $45M opening day, which appears to be the largest opening in the history of movie animation (the asterisk is because we now consider “Friday” to include Thursday night, […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions 10.2-4.2015

Posted September 30, 2015 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #40 of 2015 is looking like $143 million for the top 12 films this weekend, above the norm for this weekend but close to last year’s strong weekend (see comparisons below). The Martian from Fox should open with a $55.0 million weekend. Strong critical support: 93% positive reviews so far. The film is on track for around $166 million […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 3/13/16

Posted March 13, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  The Saturday bump for 10 CLOVERFIELD LANE (Bad Robot/Paramount) was 8%, a solid number for its genre that indicates good word of mouth.  That gave it a $25.3M weekend, a bit higher than Friday indicated, although still not where it might have gotten had the Cloverfield connection (or relative lack thereof) been clearer.  […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Don’t Breathe” Inhales Audiences, “Mechanic” Breaks Down

Posted August 27, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  DON’T BREATHE (Screen Gems/Sony) is the 2d horror movie of the late summer, after Lights Out, to benefit from an effectively marketed premise (monsters in the dark and the quiet) and strong reviews.  According to preliminary numbers at Deadline, Breathe is starting even faster than Lights, with a $10.2M opening day (including $1.9M from […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 11/27/16

Posted November 27, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  MOANA (Disney Animation) notched the #2 5-day Thanksgiving opening of all time with $81.1M (unless tomorrow’s finals put it behind Toy Story 2‘s $80.1M), and it should easily hit $250M before it’s done, especially since Universal’s Sing is its only serious family competition for the holiday season.  Its international release is going to […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Beauty” Still The Beast, “Power Rangers” Solid, “Life” Weak, “Chips” DOA

Posted March 25, 2017 by Mitch Salem

  Despite a trio of new entries as competition, BEAUTY & THE BEAST (Disney) wasn’t expected to have any trouble staying in control of its 2d weekend, and it didn’t.  Preliminary numbers at Deadline have Friday at $21.2M, down 67% from opening day last week.  That’s only an OK hold, compared to the drops of […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 7.16.2017

Posted July 16, 2017 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  The summer saga of underperforming franchise titles continued with WAR FOR THE PLANET OF THE APES (TSG/20th), with a $56.5M start that’s 22% below the $72.6M opening for Dawn 3 years ago, and just barely ahead of the $54.8M for 2011’s Rise (despite costing $60M more to produce than Rise).  Even with rave […]

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