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Weekend Box Office Predictions OCTOBER 11-13

Posted October 9, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

The 41st weekend of the year is looking like a fairly soft $106 million for the top 12 films, down 13% from this weekend last year but down a more moderate 5% from the multi-year average for this weekend. Opening at over 3,000 theaters Friday (slightly above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends […]

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Behind the Friday Box Office – 2/28/14

Posted March 1, 2014 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  NON-STOP (Universal) had the Friday lead with $10M, but that doesn’t mean it’ll take the weekend.  In any case, Universal’s investment will pay off handsomely–it covered only $12M of the budget for US rights (plus marketing costs in its territory, of course), and a likely weekend in the high $20Ms should mean US […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions AUGUST 29-31

Posted August 27, 2014 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #35 of 2014 is looking like $95 million for the top 12 films this weekend, up 11% from the norm for this weekend and on track to be the fifth up weekend in a row after six straight down weekends. Opening at around 2,500 theaters Friday (below the 2,886 average theater count for opening […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions 4.10-12.2015

Posted April 8, 2015 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #15 of 2015 is looking like $130 million for the top 12 films this weekend, somewhat above the norm for this weekend but a touch below the same weekend last year. Opening at around 3,300 theaters Friday (above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the last two years), The Longest Ride from Fox should average $4,600 […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions 7.24-26.2015

Posted July 22, 2015 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #30 of 2015 is looking like $170 million for the top 12 films this weekend, above the norm for this weekend (see comparisons below). Pixels from Sony should open with a $37.5 million three-day weekend. Early reviews at RottenTomatoes are dreadful: 11% positive overall so far. Pixels is on track for around $95 million domestic. […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 10/11/15

Posted October 11, 2015 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  PAN (RatPac-Dune/Warners) now owns a dubious place in box office history, as one of Hollywood’s biggest flops ever.  On a production/worldwide marketing cost that will exceed $300M, its $15.5M US opening makes John Carter ($30.2M), Battleship ($25.5M), The Lone Ranger ($29.2M), and this year’s Tomorrowland ($33M), Fantastic Four ($25.7M) and even Jupiter Ascending ($18.4M) […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Independence Day” Doesn’t Surge, “Shallows” Deeper Than Expected

Posted June 25, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  The underperforming spectacle of the week is INDEPENDENCE DAY: RESURGENCE (20th), which found out that not all that many people cared to see a sequel to a two-decade old hit without its original star.  According to preliminary numbers at Deadline, opening day was $17.5M (including $4M from Thursday evening), 33% below the already not-great […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions 9.9-11.2016

Posted September 7, 2016 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #37 of 2016 forecasts for films opening wide and major returning films: NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND September 9-11, 2016 Critics Positive ($ millions) Opening Weekend Forecast Domestic Total Projection Overseas Total Projection Worldwide Total Projection Sully WB PG13 79% 29.0 95 90 185 When the Bough Breaks Sony PG13 n/a 16.5 41 4 45 The […]

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