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Weekend Box Office Predictions 12.26-28.2014

Posted December 24, 2014 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #52 of 2014 is looking like $156 million for the top 12 films this weekend, down -2% from the norm for this weekend and down -14% from the same weekend last year.   Opening at around 2,400 theaters Christmas Day (somewhat below the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the last two years), Into the Woods from Disney […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Venom” & “A Star Is Born” Big, “The Hate U Give” Starts OK

Posted October 6, 2018 by Mitch Salem

  VENOM (Tencent/Columbia/Sony) is the first big-budget action movie to open since The Meg in mid-August, and that (plus a huge marketing campaign) seems to have gotten it past murderous reviews for an enormous start, the biggest ever in October.  Preliminary numbers at Deadline have opening day at $32.3M (including $10M from a Thursday that […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Annabelle: Creation” Solid, “Nut Job 2″” & “Glass Castle” Weak

Posted August 12, 2017 by Mitch Salem

  ANNABELLE: CREATION (New Line/Warners) will easily take the weekend.  According to preliminary numbers at Deadline, opening day was $15.1M, slightly below the $15.5M for 2014’s original Annabelle, but Creation is much more frontloaded, with $4M from Thursday night, almost double the $2.1M for Annabelle.  That suggests a lower weekend multiple than Annabelle‘s 2.4, and […]

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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS March 30-April 1

Posted March 29, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

>The 13th weekend of the year should be very strong: about $169 million for the top 12 films up 49% from last year’s comparable weekend and up 32% from the four-year average for this weekend.  Wrath of the Titans should open just below $40 million, far behind the pace of Clash of the Titans from […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Godzilla: King of Monsters” Wins But Doesn’t Devour, “Rocketman” OK, “Ma” Slow

Posted June 1, 2019 by Mitch Salem

  It’s too soon to tell just how GODZILLA: KING OF THE MONSTERS (Legendary/Warners) will fare based on its $19.7M opening day (including $6.3M from Thursday), per preliminary numbers at Deadline.  The reason is that the two previous installments of what Warners calls its “Monsterverse” have had strikingly divergent trajectories at the US box office.  […]

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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS July 27-29: Two Weak Movies to Open as Dark Knight Rises Stays in the Top Spot

Posted July 25, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #30 of 2012 looks like $143 million for the top 12 films, the same as last year’s comparable weekend but down 16% from the four-year average for the weekend.  Two new movies will try to take on The Dark Knight Rises without any chance of success. Opening at about 3,000 theaters, The Watch from 20th […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 7.2.2017

Posted July 2, 2017 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  DESPICABLE ME 3 (Illumination/Universal) is the latest franchise to underdeliver this summer, with a 3-day studio estimate of $75.4M in the US.  That’s far below the $115.7M opening of Minions, and it compares badly with Despicable 2 as well, since that title earned $83.5M over its first weekend after having already banked $59.6M […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Straight Outta Compton” and A Fight For the Bottom

Posted August 22, 2015 by Mitch Salem

  There were no pleasant surprises for anyone at the Friday box office, according to preliminary numbers at Deadline.  That even included STRAIGHT OUTTA COMPTON (Legendary/Universal), which will easily win the weekend, but which–considering the very mild competition–fell more heavily than expected from last Friday, down 65% to $8.5M.  That drop will moderate over the […]

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