Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #24 of 2014 looks like $197 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, 28% above the norm for this weekend but no different than the same weekend last year.
Opening at 3,306 theaters, 22 Jump Street from Sony grossed $25.0 million Friday and is on track for a $63.0 million opening three-day weekend (somewhat above our $58.0 million ShowbuzzDaily forecast). The film is pacing toward a really good three-day average of $19,100 per theater for the weekend (above the $5,333 opening weekend average for all wide-release films the last two years). Critical sentiment is supportive (83% positive overall and an even better 90% positive with top critics). 22 Jump Street is headed for $197 million total domestic.
Opening at 4,253 theaters, How to Train Your Dragon 2 from 20th Century Fox and DreamWorks Animation grossed $18.5 million Friday and is headed for a $54.0 million opening weekend (well below our $69.0 million forecast). The film is pacing toward an average of $12,700 per theater for the weekend. Critical sentiment is very strong (92% positive overall and a similar 93% positive with top critics). How to Train Your Dragon 2 is headed for $174 million total domestic.
Maleficent is headed for $20.5 million in its third weekend (down 40% from last weekend and slightly above our $17.5 million forecast). The total domestic outlook for Maleficent has been adjusted up to $223 million. The Fault in Our Stars is headed for $17.5 million in its second weekend (down 64% from last weekend and below our $19.8 million forecast). The total domestic outlook for The Fault in Our Stars has been adjusted down to $125 million. Edge of Tomorrow is headed for $16.0 million in its second weekend (down 44% from last weekend and slightly above our $14.5 million forecast). The total domestic outlook for Edge of Tomorrow has been adjusted up to $98 million.
| Weekend 24: June 13-15, 2014 | ($ millions) | |||||
| Pre-Wknd Showbuzz Forecast | Early Weekend Estimate | Actual Friday Gross | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||
| 22 Jump Street | Sony | [58.0] | 63.0 | 25.0 | 197 | |
| How to Train Your Dragon 2 | Fox | [69.0] | 54.0 | 18.5 | 174 | |
| Maleficent | Dis | [17.5] | 20.5 | 5.8 | 223 | |
| The Fault in Our Stars | Fox | [19.8] | 17.5 | 6.3 | 125 | |
| Edge of Tomorrow | WB | [14.5] | 16.0 | 4.6 | 98 | |
| X-Men: Days of Future Past | Fox | [7.6] | 9.5 | 2.6 | 231 | |
| Godzilla | WB | [3.1] | 3.4 | .87 | 198 | |
| A Million Ways to Die in the West | Uni | [3.4] | 3.0 | .92 | 44 | |
| Neighbors | Uni | [2.9] | 2.6 | .80 | 157 | |
| Chef | OpenR | [1.8] | 2.3 | .61 | 24 | |
| Blended | WB | [2.1] | 1.9 | .54 | 45 | |
Note: The table above summarizes an early look at the weekend. The first column is a reminder of each film’s ShowBuzzDaily Forecast for the weekend (in brackets). The second column, on which the films are sorted, displays the new weekend projection for each film, based on the Friday numbers (the third column). The final column is a preliminary estimate of the ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Total number for the film’s total run in North America. A “++” indicates the Domestic number has been upgraded; a “–” indicates a downgrade.
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are looking like $197 million total Friday-Sunday, up 28% from the four-year average for the comparable weekend but even with the same weekend last year.
| WEEKEND 24 | ($ millions) | ||
| Weekend Volume: Top 12 Films | Top Movies Opening Each Weekend (Fri-Sun only) | ||
| 2014 | $197 | 22 Jump Street $63.0, How to Train Your Dragon 2 $54.0 | |
| 2013 | $197 | Man of Steel $116.6, This Is the End $20.7, Before Midnight $1.4 | |
| 2012 | $123 | Rock of Ages $14.4, That’s My Boy $13.5 | |
| 2011 | $147 | Green Lantern $53.2, Mr Popper’s Penguins $18.4 | |
| 2010 | $191 | Toy Story 3 $110.3, Jonah Hex $5.4 | |
| Avg 2010-13 | $154 | ||
Check back tomorrow for more complete Weekend Studio Estimates based on Saturday’s actual box office, as well as the International Box Office report.
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