June 20, 2011


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Written by: Mitch Metcalf
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The past week (seven days ending Sunday) came in down 8% versus last year’s comparable week.  Year-to-date box office is still down 7% versus last year.   

The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume
All films in wide release playing between June 13 and June 19 grossed a relatively soft $206 million, down 20% versus the same week in 2010 and down 8% from the average comparable week the past four years.  Year to date, all films are down 7% (more precisely down 7.4%) from the same period last year (last week the figure was -6.7%), and all films year-to-date are now even with the comparable year-to-date number averaged over the last four years.   
All Films June 13-19
(millions)           4yr              vs      vs
             2010    Avg     2011    2010    Avg

Week #23     $257    $224    $206    
-20%    – 8%

Year to Date $4853   $4481   $4496   – 7%    + 0%

Updated Estimates of Final Grosses
The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Grosses (the estimated North American gross when the film ends its run) are now: The Hangover Part II ($259 million, 96th percentile for all wide releases the past two years), Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides ($240 million, 95th percentile),  Kung Fu Panda 2 ($173 million, 92nd percentile), Bridesmaids ($166 million, 91st percentile), X-Men: First Class ($157 million, 90th percentile), Green Lantern (89th percentile), Super 8 ($133 million, 87th percentile), Mr Popper’s Penguins (64th percentile).  

The complete list of Total Domestic estimates can be found below.

Weekend Actuals vs Sunday’s Studio Projections

The weekend Studio Projections (Friday and Saturday actual numbers with estimates for Sunday’s box office) were very close to the actual weekend figures out today.  

      Weekend of                 Sunday    Monday   Showbuzz
      June 17-19, 2011           Studio    Weekend  Domestic
      (millions)                Estimate   Actual    Total

Green Lantern              (WB)   $52.7    $53.2     $148
Super 8                   (Par)   $21.3    $21.5     $133++
Mr Popper’s Penguins      (Fox)   $18.2    $18.4     $ 64
X-Men: First Class        (Fox)   $11.5    $11.9     $157
The Hangover Part II       (WB)   $ 9.6    $10.1     $166
Kung Fu Panda 2        (Par/DW)   $ 8.7    $ 9.0     $173
Bridesmaids               (Uni)   $ 7.5    $ 7.1     $166++
Pirates On Stranger Tides (Dis)   $ 6.2    $ 6.6     $240
Midnight in Paris        (Sony)   $ 5.2    $ 4.9     $ 40
Judy Moody Not Bummer     (Rel)   $ 2.2    $ 2.1     $ 12

Read the latest about International box office numbers, and be sure to check out the Summer Movie Draft update.

About the Author

Mitch Metcalf
MITCH METCALF has been tracking every US film release of over 500 screens (over 2300 movies and counting) since the storied weekend of May 20, 1994, when Maverick and Beverly Hills Cop 3 inspired countless aficionados to devote their lives to the art of cinema. Prior to that, he studied Politics and Economics at Princeton in order to prepare for his dream of working in television. He has been Head of West Coast Research at ABC, then moved to NBC in 2000 and became Head of Scheduling for 11 years.