June 13, 2011


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Written by: Mitch Metcalf

>The past week (seven days ending Sunday) came in up 11% versus last year’s comparable week.  Year-to-date box office is now down 7% versus last year.   

The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume
All films in wide release playing between June 6 and June 12 grossed a strong $222 million, up 5% versus the same week in 2010 and up 11% from the average comparable week the past four years.  Year to date, all films are down 7% (actually down 6.7%) from the same period last year (last week the figure was -7.4%), and all films year-to-date are now up 1% versus the comparable year-to-date number over the last four years.   
All Films June 6-12
(millions)           4yr              vs      vs
             2010    Avg     2011    2010    Avg

Week #23     $199    $212    $222   
+11%    + 5%

Year to Date $4596   $4256   $4290   – 7%    + 1%

Updated Estimates of Final Grosses
The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Grosses (the estimated North American gross when the film ends its run) are now: The Hangover Part II ($252 million, 96th percentile for all wide releases the past two years), Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides ($234 million, 95th percentile),  Thor ($182 million, 93rd percentile), Kung Fu Panda 2 ($170 million, 92nd percentile), X-Men: First Class ($160 million, 90th percentile), Bridesmaids ($156 million, 90th percentile), Super 8 ($104 million, 81st percentile).  

The complete list of Total Domestic estimates can be found below.

Weekend Actuals vs Sunday’s Studio Projections

The weekend Studio Projections (Friday and Saturday actual numbers with estimates for Sunday’s box office) were about one million dollars or more higher than the actual weekend figures out today.  

      Weekend of                 Sunday    Monday   Showbuzz
      June 10-12, 2011           Studio    Weekend  Domestic
      (millions)                Estimate   Actual    Total
Super 8                   (Par)   $37.0    $35.4     $104
X-Men: First Class        (Fox)   $25.0    $24.1     $160
The Hangover Part II       (WB)   $18.5    $17.7     $252–
Kung Fu Panda 2        (Par/DW)   $16.6    $16.5     $170
Pirates On Stranger Tides (Dis)   $10.8    $10.9     $234
Bridesmaids               (Uni)   $10.2    $10.1     $156++

Judy Moody Not Bummer     (Rel)   $ 6.3    $ 6.1     $ 13

Midnight in Paris        (Sony)   $ 6.1    $ 5.8     $ 38

Thor                      (Par)   $ 2.4    $ 2.4     $182
Fast Five                 (Uni)   $ 1.7    $ 1.7     $212

A reminder that Weekend Predictions will be posted Thursday for Green Lantern and Mr Popper’s Penguins.

Be sure to check the status of the ShowBuzzDaily Summer Movie Draft, too.  

About the Author

Mitch Metcalf
MITCH METCALF has been tracking every US film release of over 500 screens (over 2300 movies and counting) since the storied weekend of May 20, 1994, when Maverick and Beverly Hills Cop 3 inspired countless aficionados to devote their lives to the art of cinema. Prior to that, he studied Politics and Economics at Princeton in order to prepare for his dream of working in television. He has been Head of West Coast Research at ABC, then moved to NBC in 2000 and became Head of Scheduling for 11 years.