June 6, 2011


More articles by »
Written by: Mitch Metcalf
Tags: , , , , ,

>The past week (seven days ending Sunday) came in up 25% versus last year’s comparable week.  Year-to-date box office is now down 7% versus last year (an improvement of two percentage points from last week).   

The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume
All films in wide release playing between May 30 and June 5 grossed a very strong $252 million, up 25% versus the same week in 2010 and up 20% from the average comparable week the past four years.  Year to date, all films are down 7% from the same period last year (last week the figure was -9%), and all films year-to-date are now up 1% with the comparable year-to-date number over the last four years.   
All Films May 30-June 5
(millions)           4yr              vs      vs
             2010    Avg     2011    2010    Avg

Week #22     $201    $211    $252   
+25%    +20%

Year to Date $4397   $4045   $4068   – 7%    + 1%

Updated Estimates of Final Grosses
The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Grosses (the estimated North American gross when the film ends its run) are now: The Hangover Part II ($262 million, 96th percentile for all wide releases the past two years), Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides ($247 million, 96th percentile),  Fast Five ($212 million, 94th percentile), Thor ($189 million, 93rd percentile), Kung Fu Panda 2 ($167 million, 91st percentile), X-Men: First Class ($165 million, 91st percentile), Bridesmaids ($144 million, 89th percentile).  

The complete list of Total Domestic estimates can be found below.

Weekend Actuals vs Sunday’s Studio Projections

The weekend Studio Projections (Friday and Saturday actual numbers with estimates for Sunday’s box office) were very close to the actual weekend numbers today.  

      Weekend of                 Sunday    Monday   Showbuzz
      June 3-5, 2011             Studio    Weekend  Domestic
      (millions)                Estimate   Actual    Total
X-Men: First Class        (Fox)   $56.0    $55.1     $165
The Hangover Part II       (WB)   $32.4    $31.4     $262–
Kung Fu Panda 2        (Par/DW)   $24.3    $23.9     $167
Pirates On Stranger Tides (Dis)   $18.0    $17.9     $247
Bridesmaids               (Uni)   $12.1    $12.0     $144++
Thor                      (Par)   $ 4.2    $ 4.2     $189
Fast Five                 (Uni)   $ 3.2    $ 3.2     $212
Midnight in Paris        (Sony)   $ 2.9    $ 2.8      n/a

A reminder that Weekend Predictions will be posted Thursday for Super 8 and Judy Moody and the NOT Bummer Summer, as well as the semi-wide expansion of Midnight in Paris.

Be sure to check the status of the ShowBuzzDaily Summer Movie Draft, too.  

About the Author

Mitch Metcalf
MITCH METCALF has been tracking every US film release of over 500 screens (over 2300 movies and counting) since the storied weekend of May 20, 1994, when Maverick and Beverly Hills Cop 3 inspired countless aficionados to devote their lives to the art of cinema. Prior to that, he studied Politics and Economics at Princeton in order to prepare for his dream of working in television. He has been Head of West Coast Research at ABC, then moved to NBC in 2000 and became Head of Scheduling for 11 years.