After its Golden Globes win for Best Drama, the odds of winning Best Picture for Argo improved a bit (moving from a $7.50 payout on a $1 wager to $5.25 and moving past Les Miserables into second place). But the favorite remains Lincoln, which also actually tightened to a $1.29 payout (from $1.40 last week), as Les Miz and especially Zero Dark Thirty became more of long shots this week. With Golden Globe winner Ben Affleck not even nominated for the Best Director Oscar, Steven Spielberg remains almost a sure thing.
| OSCAR WINNINGS (Payout on $1 Bet) | ||||
| BEST PICTURE | Jan 17 | Jan 10 | Jan 3 | |
| Lincoln | 1.29 | 1.40 | 1.80 | |
| Argo | Up | 5.25 | 7.50 | 7.50 |
| Les Miserables | Down | 10 | 6 | 4.12 |
| Life of Pi | 21 | 19 | 19 | |
| Silver Linings Playbook | 25 | 21 | 21 | |
| Zero Dark Thirty | Down | 27 | 10 | 5.50 |
| Amour | 42 | 50 | — | |
| Django Unchained | 83 | 76 | — | |
| Beasts of the Southern Wild | 103 | 84 | — | |
| BEST DIRECTOR | Jan 17 | Jan 10 | Jan 3 | |
| Steven Spielberg/ Lincoln | 1.18 | 1.30 | 2.12 | |
| Ang Lee/ Life of Pi | 6.50 | 6 | 16 | |
| Michael Haneke/ Amour | 11 | 9.5 | — | |
| David O Russell/ Silver Linings Playbook | 17 | 13 | 30 | |
| Benh Zeitlin/ Beasts of the Southern Wild | 38 | 31 | — | |
Median payouts from oddschecker.com as of today (following the Golden Globes), Jan 10 (immediately following the Oscar nominations announcement) and the week before
Very little change in the Best Actor odds, while Christoph Waltz moved into the running for Best Supporting Actor, thanks to his Golden Globe win. But the race remains a good one between Tommy Lee Jones and Philip Seymour Hoffman.
| BEST ACTOR | Jan 17 | Jan 10 | Jan 3 | |
| Daniel Day-Lewis/ Lincoln | 1.08 | 1.12 | 1.24 | |
| Hugh Jackman/ Les Miserables | 10 | 9.5 | 9.5 | |
| Denzel Washington/ Flight | 25 | 14 | 8 | |
| Joaquin Phoenix/ The Master | 27 | 16 | 12 | |
| Bradley Cooper/ Silver Linings Playbook | 27 | 25 | 20 | |
| BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR | Jan 17 | Jan 10 | Jan 3 | |
| Tommy Lee Jones/ Lincoln | 2.29 | 2.19 | 2.47 | |
| Philip Seymour Hoffman/ The Master | 2.56 | 2.35 | 2.35 | |
| Christoph Waltz/ Django Unchained | Up | 5 | 18.50 | — |
| Robert DeNiro/ Silver Linings Playbook | 14 | 10 | 10 | |
| Alan Arkin/ Argo | Down | 17 | 8.50 | 13.50 |
Jennifer Lawrence and Jessica Chastain moved a little closer in the odds for Best Actress, as both claimed a Golden Globe for drama and musical/comedy, respectively. Anne Hathaway remains the surest of sure things: now paying only $1.06 on a $1 wager for Best Supporting Actress.
| BEST ACTRESS | Jan 17 | Jan 10 | Jan 3 |
| Jennifer Lawrence/ Silver Linings Playbook | 1.58 | 1.47 | 1.48 |
| Jessica Chastain/ Zero Dark Thirty | 2.68 | 3 | 3 |
| Emannuelle Riva/ Amour | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| Naomi Watts/ The Impossible | 20 | 19 | — |
| Quvenzhane Wallis/ Beasts of the Southern Wild | 38 | 27 | 19 |
| BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS | Jan 17 | Jan 10 | Jan 3 |
| Anne Hathaway/ Les Miserables | 1.06 | 1.10 | 1.11 |
| Sally Field/ Lincoln | 13 | 11 | 9.50 |
| Helen Hunt/ The Sessions | 14 | 12 | 9.50 |
| Amy Adams/ The Master | 20 | 18 | 14 |
| Jacki Weaver/ Silver Linings Playbook | 46 | 42 | 34 |
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