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Deadline has rough estimates for the weekend boxoffice, and they’re pretty much in keeping with Friday’s numbers. The biggest surprise, if the number holds, would be that Paramount is estimating
CAPTAIN AMERICA: THE FIRST AVENGER at $65.5M, slightly below its own
Thor debut of $65.7M. The explanation may be that Saturday’s number is looking like $1.3M below
Thor‘s, which makes even the $65.5M total a stretch, needing a better Sunday than
Thor had.
HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS (PART 2) is headed for a 71% plummet from last week. Unexpectedly, this could mean that the race between
Harry Potter and
Transformers for #1 picture of the summer could end up being neck-and-neck, with
Transformers headed for $350M+ and
Harry not much more than that. (For those following the Metcalf vs. Salem
Summer Draft Showdown, this also means a closer finish than Team Salem was expecting, especially since Metcalf has both
Cowboys and Aliens and
Crazy Stupid Love next week, leaving me with the cold comfort of
The Smurfs.)
The FRIENDS WITH BENEFITS opening is a little soft, heading for $18.7M (lower than its precursor No Strings Attached and all the summer’s R-rated comedies). Justin Timberlake and Mila Kunis, it seems, are still knocking at the door to A-list movie stardom.
Look for Mitch Metcalf’s full analysis of the official studio estimates later this morning, and international grosses as soon as they’re released.
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About the Author
Mitch Salem
MITCH SALEM has worked on the business side of the entertainment industry for 20 years, as a senior business affairs executive and attorney for such companies as NBC, ABC, USA, Syfy, Bravo, and BermanBraun Productions, and before that, at the NY law firm of Weil, Gotshal & Manges. During all that, he has more or less constantly been going to the movies and watching TV, and writing about both since the 1980s. His film reviews also currently appear on screened.com and the-burg.com. In addition, he is co-writer of an episode of the television series "Felicity."
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