November 26, 2012


The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume

All films in wide release playing between November 19 and November 25 grossed an excellent $325 million, up 19% from the four-year average for the week and up 25% from the same week last year.   Over the last four weeks, 

The past six weeks are now 15% above the four-year average and 20% above the same six-week period last year.  

Year to date box office (now almost $9.2 billion for wide-release films) is 6.5% above the average for the same period the last four years and 6.9% ahead of the same period last year.

Domestic Box Office Volume: All Wide-Release Films through November 25, 2012 ($ millions)  2012 vs 2011  2012 vs 4yr Avg
2011 4-year Average 2012
Week #47 $260 $274 $325 +25% +19%
Past Six Weeks $1,062 $1,104 $1,272 +20% +15%
Year to Date $8,598 $8,626 $9,189 +6.9% +6.5%


Weekend Actuals versus Studio Estimate

A fairly typical round of estimates Sunday morning for the weekend’s openers.  Two were over-estimated Sunday and came down in the actuals, while one came up from the estimate.

Rise of the Guardians came in officially at $23,773,465 for its opening three-day weekend, down 1.0% from the Paramount estimate Sunday.  

Life of Pi came in at $22,451,514 in its first wide weekend, up 2.1% from the Fox estimate Sunday.

Red Dawn came in officially at $14,276,668 for its first Friday-Sunday, down 2.2% from the estimate from FilmDistrict Sunday morning.


Updated Estimates of Final Grosses

The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Grosses (the estimated North American gross when the film ends its run) are summarized below for films released the last six weeks. Pay attention to the final domestic grosses, which are much more important than individual weekend grosses and especially weekend rankings.  

Updated ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Final Estimates Domestic Final Gross ($ millions) percentile
Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 313 99
Skyfall 312 99
Wreck-It Ralph 195 94
Lincoln 141 87
Rise of the Guardians 116 83
Flight 95 76
Life of Pi 84 72
Paranormal Activity 4 52 51
Red Dawn 39 42
Cloud Atlas 27 26
Alex Cross 25 24
Silent Hill: Revelation 3D 15 11
Man with the Iron Fists 14 9
Fun Size 9 3
Chasing Mavericks 6 1


Weekend Predictions for November 30-December 2 should be posted Wednesday.  This weekend features opening of The Collection (horror thriller from LD Entertainment) and Killing Them Softly (crime thriller from Weinstein).


About the Author

Mitch Metcalf
MITCH METCALF has been tracking every US film release of over 500 screens (over 2300 movies and counting) since the storied weekend of May 20, 1994, when Maverick and Beverly Hills Cop 3 inspired countless aficionados to devote their lives to the art of cinema. Prior to that, he studied Politics and Economics at Princeton in order to prepare for his dream of working in television. He has been Head of West Coast Research at ABC, then moved to NBC in 2000 and became Head of Scheduling for 11 years.