Weekend #25 of 2016 forecasts for films opening wide and major returning films:
NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND June 17-19, 2016 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||||
Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | Overseas Total Projection | Worldwide Total Projection | |||||
Finding Dory | Dis | PG | 93% | 127.5 | 395 | 625 | 1,020 | |
Central Intelligence | WB | PG13 | n/a | 36.5 | 110 | 115 | 225 |
Note: Although critic reviews are not related to the size of the opening weekend, they are significantly correlated with the size of the declines in the opening weeks of a movie. The Domestic Total is a very early ShowBuzzDaily projection of the total North American gross, based on the Weekend Forecasts. The Overseas Total is also a ShowBuzzDaily projection based on similar movies and their performance outside North America.
TOP RETURNING FILMS June 17-19, 2016 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
Weekend Forecast | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
The Conjuring 2 | WB | -45% | 22.1 | 118 | ||
Now You See Me 2 | LG | -32% | 15.3 | 63 | ||
Warcraft | Uni | -67% | 8.1 | 61 | ||
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows | Par | -54% | 6.7 | 91 | ||
Me Before You | WB | -46% | 4.9 | 59 | ||
X-Men: Apocalypse | Fox | -58% | 4.8 | 158 | ||
Angry Birds Movie | Sony | -48% | 3.4 | 113 | ||
Alice Through the Looking Glass | Dis | -49% | 2.9 | 75 |
A look at last week’s opening weekend forecast accuracy:
- The Conjuring 2: $35.0 million predicted and $40.4 million actual
- Warcraft: $23.0 million predicted and $24.2 million actual
- Now You See Me 2: $26.5 million predicted and $22.4 million actual
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.