Weekend #29 of 2016 forecasts for films opening wide and major returning films:
NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND July 15-17, 2016 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||||
Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | Overseas Total Projection | Worldwide Total Projection | |||||
Ghostbusters | Sony | PG13 | 75% | 53.0 | 150 | 140 | 290 | |
The Infiltrator | Broad Green | R | 57% | 5.0 | 20 | 15 | 35 |
Note: Although critic reviews are not related to the size of the opening weekend, they are significantly correlated with the size of the declines in the opening weeks of a movie. The Domestic Total is a very early ShowBuzzDaily projection of the total North American gross, based on the Weekend Forecasts. The Overseas Total is also a ShowBuzzDaily projection based on similar movies and their performance outside North America.
TOP RETURNING FILMS July 15-17, 2016 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
Weekend Forecast | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
Secret Life of Pets | Uni | -47% | 55.1 | 320 | ||
Finding Dory | Dis | -41% | 12.3 | 510 | ||
Legend of Tarzan | WB | -43% | 12.0 | 130 | ||
Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates | Fox | -40% | 9.9 | 58 | ||
The Purge: Election Year | Uni | -44% | 6.9 | 85 | ||
Central Intelligence | WB | -43% | 4.6 | 130 | ||
The BFG | Dis | -55% | 3.5 | 59 | ||
Independence Day: Resurgence | Fox | -59% | 3.2 | 113 |
A look at last week’s opening weekend forecast accuracy:
- Secret Life of Pets: $80.5 million predicted and $104.4 million actual
- Make and Dave Need Wedding Dates: $12.0 million predicted and $16.6 million actual
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.