Although Expendables 2 did not open as big as we forecast earlier in the week, the weekend was not bad for a third weekend in August.
The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Final estimates for films opening wide this weekend: The Expendables 2 ($87 million), ParaNorman ($69 million), Sparkle ($32 million) and The Odd Life of Timothy Green ($37 million).
Second week films: The Bourne Idenity ($110 million, down somewhat from last week’s initial estimate), The Campaign ($86 million, also down from last week) and Hope Springs ($61 million, down from $69 million last week).
Third week films: Total Recall ($56 million, even with last week) and Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days ($51 million, even with last week).
Fifth week films: The Dark Knight Rises ($442 million, down a touch from last week’s estimate).
| Weekend 33: August 17-19, 2012 | ($ millions) | ||||
| vs Last Wknd | Wknd Studio Proj. | Showbuzz Domestic Final | |||
| The Expendables 2 | LG | 28.8 | 87 | ||
| Bourne Legacy | Uni | -55% | 17.0 | 110 | |
| ParaNorman | Foc/ Uni | 14.0 | 69 | ||
| The Campaign | WB | -50% | 13.4 | 86 | |
| Sparkle | Tri/ Sony | 12.0 | 32 | ||
| Dark Knight Rises | WB | -41% | 11.1 | 442 | |
| Odd Life of Timothy Green | Dis | 10.9 | 37 | ||
| Hope Springs | Sony | -38% | 9.1 | 61 | |
| Diary of Wimpy Kid: Dog Days | Fox | -52% | 3.8 | 51 | |
| Total Recall | Sony | -56% | 3.5 | 56 | |
| Ice Age: Continental Drift | Fox | -54% | 2.9 | 160 | |
| Ted | Uni | -50% | 1.6 | 226 | |
| Expendables Track — Lionsgate | ($ millions) | ||||||
| Critics Positive | Opening Weekend | Domestic Total | Overseas Total | Worldwide Total | |||
| The Expendables 2 | 8.17.2012 | 67% | 28.8 | 87-est | n/a | n/a | |
| The Expendables | 8.13.2010 | 41% | 34.8 | 103.1 | 171.4 | 274.5 | |
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are looking like $128 million total Friday-Sunday, not as much as we forecast Wednesday but still up 21% from the same calendar weekend last year and up 23% from the average for this weekend the past four years.
| ($ millions) | |||
| WEEKEND #33 | Weekend Volume: Top 12 Films | Top Movies Opening Each Weekend | |
| 2012 | $128 | Expendables 2 $29, ParaNorman $14, Sparkle $12, Odd Life Tim Green $11 | |
| 2011 | $106 | Spy Kids All Time World $12, Conan the Barbarian $10, Fright Night $8 | |
| 2010 | $110 | Vampires Suck $12, Lottery Ticket $11, Piranha 3D $10 | |
| 2009 | $112 | Inglorious Basterds $38, Shorts $6 | |
| 2008 | $89 | House Bunny $14, Death Race $13, The Longshots $4 | |
| Avg 2008-11 | $104 | ||
Total Box Office Volume
Opening wide next weekend are Hit & Run from Open Road Films (action comedy written by, co-directed by and starring Dax Shepard of NBC’s Parenthood, opening early on Wednesday), Premium Rush from Sony (action thriller starring Joseph Gordon-Levitt as one seriously unlucky bike messenger) and The Apparition from Warner Brothers (a thriller from now-released producer Joel Silver at fewer than 1,000 theaters). These films will be compared to the following openers from the same weekend last year: Colombiana ($10.4 million opening weekend), Don’t Be Afraid of the Dark ($8.5 million) and Our Idiot Brother ($7.0 million).
International grosses will be updated later today.
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