Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, Weekend #2 of 2013 is on pace for $122 million, a touch lower than it appeared yesterday but still up slightly from the same weekend the last few years. Zero Dark Thirty’s first wide weekend is now looking like $24 million, a few million dollars lower than yesterday’s forecast but now in line with the ShowbuzzDaily forecast earlier this week. A Haunted House is gaining steam (a nice bump from $6.8 million Friday to $7.5 million Saturday). While Gangster Squad is moving in the opposite direction: the dreaded drop in box office from Friday ($6.7 million) to Saturday ($6.2 million).
| Weekend 2: January 11-13, 2013 | ($ millions) | ||||||
| Pre-Wknd Showbuzz Forecast | Early Weekend Estimate | Weekend Studio Estimate | Actual Fri–Sat Gross | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||
| Zero Dark Thirty | Sony | [24.2] | 26.0 | 24.0 | 9.1–9.3 | 90 | |
| A Haunted House | OpenRoad | [15.2] | 17.5 | 18.8 | 6.8–7.5 | 57 | |
| Gangster Squad | WB | [17.2] | 18.7 | 16.7 | 6.7–6.2 | 45 | |
| Django Unchained | Weins | [13.8] | 11.7 | 11.1 | 3.4–4.7 | 165 | |
| Les Miserables | Uni | [10.3] | 9.5 | 10.1 | 2.9–4.2 | 140 | |
| The Hobbit | WB | [9.8] | 9.0 | 9.1 | 2.3–4.2 | 300 | |
| Lincoln | DW/Fox/Dis | [4.5] | 6.5 | 6.3 | 1.8–2.8 | 175 | |
| Parental Guidance | Fox | [5.9] | 6.3 | 6.1 | 1.7–2.9 | 65 | |
| Texas Chainsaw 3D | LG | [7.8] | 4.9 | 5.2 | 1.8–2.3 | 32 | |
| Silver Linings Playbook | Weins | [4.0] | 5.1 | 5.0 | 1.5–2.2 | 55 | |
| Jack Reacher | Par | [4.9] | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.5–2.2 | 85 | |
Note: The table above summarizes an early look at the weekend. The first column is a reminder of each film’s ShowBuzzDaily Forecast for the weekend (in brackets). The second column, on which the films are sorted, displays the new weekend projection for each film, based on the Friday numbers (the third column). The final column is a preliminary estimate of the ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Total number for the film’s total run in North America. A “++” indicates the Domestic number has been upgraded; a “–” indicates a downgrade.
In case you missed them, click to see this week’s Weekend Predictions.
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are now looking like $122 million total Friday-Sunday, down 12% from the average comparable weekend the last four years but up 6% from the same weekend last year (and the 2011, also).
| WEEKEND #2 | ($ millions) | ||
| Weekend Volume: Top 12 Films | Top Movies Opening Each Weekend (Fri-Sun only) | ||
| 2013 | $122 | Zero Dark Thirty $24, A Haunted House $19, Gangster Squad $16.7 | |
| 2012 | $115 | Contraband $22, Beauty & Beast 3D $18, Joyful Noise $11 | |
| 2011 | $115 | Green Hornet $33, The Dilemma $18 | |
| 2010 | $157 | Book of Eli $33, Lovely Bones $17, Spy Next Door $10 | |
| 2009 | $165 | Paul Blart: Mall Cop $32, My Bloody Valentine $21, Notorious $20 | |
| Avg 2009-12 | $138 | ||
Check back later for the International Box Office report.
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