>The weekend studio estimates (based on Friday and Saturday actuals and projections for Sunday) are coming in about the same as the weekend numbers posted yesterday (based on Friday actuals only). The box office volume for the top 12 films is now looking like $146 million for the weekend, up 28% from last year’s weekend and up 14% from the weekend’s average for the past four years.
The Hunger Games looks like a 60% decline in its second weekend to $61.1 million, now grossing $251 million through its first 10 days.
Opening First Final
Weekend 10 Days Domestic
Harry Potter and Deathly $169.2 $273.5 $381.0
Hallows Part 2
The Dark Knight $158.4 $313.8 $533.3
Spider-Man 3 $151.1 $240.2 $336.5
Twilight Saga: New Moon $142.8 $230.9 $296.6
Twilight Saga: Breaking $138.1 $220.8 $281.3
Dawn Part 1
The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Final estimates now show that the films opening wide this weekend are headed for: Wrath of the Titans ($92 million) and Mirror Mirror ($51 million).
Second week opener: The Hunger Games ($375 million, adjusted down).
The third week slate: 21 Jump Street ($132 million, adjusted up slightly from the first two weeks).
Fourth week: John Carter ($72 million, adjusted down slightly again).
Mar 30-Apr 1 Wknd vs Showbuzz
(millions) Studio Last Domestic
Proj. Wknd Final*
The Hunger Games (LG) $61.1 -59% $375
Wrath of the Titans (WB) $34.2 $ 92
Mirror Mirror (Rel) $19.0 $ 51
21 Jump Street (Sony) $15.0 -27% $132
The Lorax (Uni) $ 8.0 -39% $213
John Carter (Dis) $ 2.0 -60% $ 72
Salmon Fishing in the Yemen (CBS) $ 1.3 +81% —
Act of Valor (Rel) $ 1.0 -51% $ 71
A Thousand Words (Par) $ 0.9 -53% $ 16
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are still looking like a solid $146 million total Friday-Sunday, up 28% from the same calendar weekend last year and up 14% from the more typical volume for this weekend in other years.
Top 12 Films: Weekend #13
2012 $146 Wrath of the Titans $34, Mirror Mirror $19
2011 $114 Hop $37.5, Source Code $15, Insidious $13
2010 $169 Clash of the Titans $61, TP Why Did I Married $29
2009 $149 Fast & Furious $71, Adventureland $6
2008 $ 80 Nim’s Island $13, Leatherheads $13, The Ruins $8
2008-11
Avg $128
Opening wide next weekend are American Reunion from Universal and the entirely unnecessary Titanic (3D) from Paramount. These films will be compared to a true weekend from hell (perhaps the worst of the debacle that was 2011): Hanna ($12.4 million opening weekend), Arthur ($12.2 million), Soul Surfer ($10.6 million) and Your Highness ($9.4 million).
Check back later today for our update on international grosses.
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