Another relatively slow week at the North American box office. Dark Knight Rises keeps chugging along (still lagging behind the domestic pace of 2008’s Dark Knight but still on track for close to $450 million), but two new films opened weakly and no other holdovers are doing much business.
The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume
All films in wide release playing between July 30 and August 5 grossed a pretty soft $186 million, down 13% from the four-year average for the comparable week and down 25% from the same week in 2011 (when Rise of the Planet of the Apes opened to a robust $54.8 million in its first weekend). Year to date (now almost $6.5 billion for wide-release films) is now running 6% ahead of past years at this point (down from +8% through last week).
Domestic Box Office Volume: All Wide-Release Films through August 5, 2012 | ($ millions) | |||||
2011 | 4-year Average | 2012 | vs 2011 | vs 4yr Avg | ||
Week #31 | $250 | $215 | $186 | -25% | -13% | |
Year to Date | $6,099 | $6,096 | $6,475 | +6% | +6% |
Weekend Actuals versus Studio Estimate
The major films this weekend (the top three with weekends greater than $10 million) came in with actual weekend grosses within 2% of the studio estimates. The official third weekend number for The Dark Knight Rises ended up at $35,737,330 officially, down 1.9% from the studio estimate Sunday morning.
Total Recall opened with $25,577,758, down 1.6% from the Sony estimate Sunday morning, while Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days opened with $14,623,599 officially, down a scant 0.5% from Fox’s estimate.
Updated Estimates of Final Grosses
The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Grosses (the estimated North American gross when the film ends its run) are summarized below for films released the last six weeks. Pay attention to the final domestic grosses, which are much more important than individual weekend grosses and especially weekend rankings.
Updated ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Final Estimates | Domestic Final Gross ($ millions) | percentile | |
Dark Knight Rises | 446 | 99 | |
Amazing Spider-Man | 272 | 96 | |
Ted | 226 | 94 | |
Ice Age: Continental Drift | 156 | 89 | |
Magic Mike | 116 | 83 | |
TP’s Medea’s Witness Protection | 66 | 66 | |
Total Recall | 65 | 65 | |
Savages | 50 | 55 | |
Moonrise Kingdom | 46 | 53 | |
Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days | 41 | 48 | |
The Watch | 38 | 45 | |
Step Up Revolution | 37 | 43 | |
Katy Perry: Part of Me | 25 | 28 | |
To Rome with Love | 17 | 16 | |
People Like Us | 13 | 10 |
Weekend Predictions for the August 10-12 weekend should be posted Wednesday. This weekend features the openings of The Bourne Legacy, The Campaign and Hope Springs.
Also, catch the latest update on the ShowbuzzDaily Summer Movie Fantasy Draft.