December 3, 2012


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Written by: Mitch Metcalf
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The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume

All films in wide release playing between November 26 and December 2 grossed an terrific $146 million, up 26% from the four-year average for the week and up a big 40% from the same week last year. 

The past six weeks are now 18% above the four-year average and 23% above the same six-week period last year.  

Year to date box office (now over $9.3 billion for wide-release films) is 6.8% above the average for the same period the last four years and 7.3% ahead of the same period last year.

Domestic Box Office Volume: All Wide-Release Films through December 2, 2012 ($ millions)  2012 vs 2011  2012 vs 4yr Avg
2011 4-year Average 2012
Week #47 $104 $115 $146 +40% +26%
Past Six Weeks $1,026 $1,066 $1,259 +23% +18%
Year to Date $8,702 $8,741 $9,335 +7.3% +6.8%


Weekend Actuals versus Studio Estimate

Two pint-sized films opened this weekend, and even their mini-openings were exaggerated by their studios Sunday morning.

Killing Them Softly came in officially at $6,812,900 for its opening three-day weekend, down 2.7% from the fairly bloated Weinstein Company estimate Sunday.  

The Collection came in at $3,104,269 in its first weekend, down a very large 8.9% from the Sunday estimate.


Updated Estimates of Final Grosses

The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Grosses (the estimated North American gross when the film ends its run) are summarized below for films released the last six weeks. Pay attention to the final domestic grosses, which are much more important than individual weekend grosses and especially weekend rankings.  

Updated ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Final Estimates Domestic Final Gross ($ millions) percentile
Skyfall 285 97
Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 280 97
Wreck-It Ralph 177 93
Lincoln 134 86
Flight 93 75
Rise of the Guardians 85 72
Life of Pi 82 71
Red Dawn 43 47
Killing Them Softly 29 27
Cloud Atlas 27 26
Silent Hill: Revelation 3D 17 12
Man with the Iron Fists 14 9
The Collection 10 4
Fun Size 9 3
Chasing Mavericks 6 1


Weekend Predictions for December 7-9 should be posted Wednesday.  This weekend features one wide-release opening: Playing for Keeps (romantic comedy starring Gerard Butler and Jessica Biel from FilmDistrict).


About the Author

Mitch Metcalf
MITCH METCALF has been tracking every US film release of over 500 screens (over 2300 movies and counting) since the storied weekend of May 20, 1994, when Maverick and Beverly Hills Cop 3 inspired countless aficionados to devote their lives to the art of cinema. Prior to that, he studied Politics and Economics at Princeton in order to prepare for his dream of working in television. He has been Head of West Coast Research at ABC, then moved to NBC in 2000 and became Head of Scheduling for 11 years.