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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS November 4-6

> $59.99 for home VOD — Genius! Box office normally starts to pick up when the calendar turns to November, moving from $90-100 million per weekend through most of October to $120 million or more per weekend in early Novem...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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INTERNATIONAL BOX OFFICE NUMBERS through October 30

>Real Steel is knocking on the $200 million worldwide door, as the overseas gross to date jumped above $100 million (outweighing a downgrade in our domestic total estimate).  Picking up steam, Paranormal Activity 3 doubled...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS and YEAR TO DATE October 24-30

>The year to date box office tally picked up a tiny bit of ground moving from -3.8% versus last year to -3.7% this week.        The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume All films in wide release...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES October 28-30

> Why did it snow on my weekend? Based on Friday and Saturday box office (and estimated Sunday numbers), Puss in Boots looks like a $34 million opening weekend.  The highly unusual late-October snowstorm in the northeast c...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY OCTOBER 28 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

> DreamWorks’ Puss In Boots is opening at a solid #1 but below its forecast.  Paranormal Activity 3 is sporting a 65% decline in its second weekend (just under $20 million for the weekend), but it has nonetheless bee...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS October 28-30

> Normally a relatively quiet period, the weekend before Halloween usually offers only one new release and well under $100 million in total volume for the top 12 movies.  But this year, we have three releases, with one poi...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS and YEAR TO DATE October 17-23

>Final box office grosses for the weekend came in late, and the top three movies were somewhat lower than projected on Sunday.  For example, the Paranormal Activity 3 opening weekend was projected to gross $54.0 million on...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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INTERNATIONAL BOX OFFICE NUMBERS October 23

>The Worldwide Box Office chart now tracks the movies released in the U.S. the last three months.  This will provide a clearer view of the marketplace at any point of the year.  Remember that each week going forward, ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES October 21-23

>Based on Friday and Saturday box office (and estimated Sunday numbers), Paranormal Activity 3 is now looking like a $54 million opening weekend, almost matching the last big opening ($54.8 for Rise of the Planet of the Apes on...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY OCTOBER 21 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

> Paranormal Activity 3 is THE story at the nation’s theaters this weekend.  An opening weekend of almost $52 million (with almost $26 million in the bank Friday), blasting past Paranormal Activity 2’s $41 mill...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS October 21-23

> This weekend looks like it will have a very solid opener (the best since August 5, when Rise of the Planet of the Apes bowed) but the weekend as a whole should still lag behind the same weekend last year.  The third...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS & YEAR TO DATE October 10-16

>The past week (seven days ending Sunday) is up 5% versus last year’s comparable week.  Year-to-date box office is now down 3.2% versus last year, the smallest year-to-year margin we’ve seen so f...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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INTERNATIONAL BOX OFFICE NUMBERS October 16

>The Smurfs movie continues to inch closer to Cars 2 in worldwide box office (now $9 million away).  Real Steel is the only recent movie with any overseas box office pull.  Its overseas to date tally of $57 million ha...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES October 14-16

> Based on Friday and Saturday box office (and estimated Sunday numbers), we have a photo finish for #1, with Real Steel in its second weekend probably edging opener Footloose.  As for the other openers, The Thing opened w...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY OCTOBER 14 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

> What a catastrophe at the box office this weekend.  No film above $20 million for the weekend, and the top 12 films are down a staggering 37% from the same weekend last year (when Jackass 3-D opened to $50 million). ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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