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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS December 2-4

>Very lame weekend ahead, as is normal for the first weekend in December.  Coming off the last two weekends, which are usually the #1 and #15 weekends of the year in terms of total dollar volume, this weekend is usually ra...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY AUGUST 8 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #32 of 2014 looks like a very good $173 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, well above our forecast ($152 million) and 26% above the norm for this weekend ($138 million). Openin...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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ShowBuzzDaily SUMMER MOVIE DRAFT: July 1 Update

>Through Thursday, the gap between Team Salem and Metcalf has been reduced to about $172 million.  Look for Transformers: Dark of the Moon to add another $100-105 million through Monday, while Larry Crowne should garner ar...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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INTERNATIONAL BOX OFFICE NUMBERS October 16

>The Smurfs movie continues to inch closer to Cars 2 in worldwide box office (now $9 million away).  Real Steel is the only recent movie with any overseas box office pull.  Its overseas to date tally of $57 million ha...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 16 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

>After a pretty long string of accurate box office predictions, ShowBuzzDaily really missed the boat on The Lion King in 3D.  We were debating between an $11 million or $15 million forecast and decided to go with the lower...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY 7.3.2015 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #27 of 2015 looks like $130 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, below the norm for this weekend but slightly above last year’s similar bummer of a July 4th weekend.   O...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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A SHOWBUZZDAILY Guide to Movie Profitability (Or Not) – Part I: Budget

  Let’s start with something simple:  anyone who claims to have reliable knowledge about the profitability of a specific film, without having detailed access to its production budgets, financing documents and key ta...
by Mitch Salem
 
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ShowBuzzDaily SUMMER MOVIE DRAFT July 18 Update

>Through Sunday, Team Metcalf is holding on to a $39 million lead over Team Salem in the ShowBuzzDaily Summer Movie Draft.  The terrific opening of Harry Potter was balanced somewhat by decent holds for Transformers 3...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES: September 2-4

>Based on Friday and Saturday box office (and estimated Sunday numbers), The Help continues at #1 yet again, down only 2% from last week.  This is really getting to be a tired headline, but with the feeble crop of recent r...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions 9.26-28.2014

Weekend #39 of 2014 is looking like $97 million for the top 12 films this weekend, up 3% from the norm for this weekend. Opening at around 3,234 theaters Friday (above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the la...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY JUNE 7 BOX OFFICE REPORT

Based on Friday’s grosses, Weekend #23 of 2013 looks like an okay $153 million for the top 12 films, down 14% from last year but 5% above the average for this weekend the past few years.  The Purge is doing much better t...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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ShowBuzzDaily SUMMER MOVIE DRAFT June 17 Update

> It’s not looking good for Team Metcalf, which is about $160 million behind Team Salem in the first annual ShowBuzzDaily Summer Movie Draft.  And it’s not going to get any better this weekend.  Even if Sa...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS June 14-16

The 24th weekend of the year is looking like a very good $201 million for the top 12 films, well above the same weekend the last few years.   Opening at over 4,200 theaters Friday (well into the top 10% of theater counts), Man...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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INTERNATIONAL BOX OFFICE NUMBERS September 4

>Through this weekend, the major action on the Worldwide Box Office chart is happening at the bottom of the Top 10.  The Smurfs continue to show an amazing amount of momentum, almost hitting $300 million overseas.  Ne...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Studio Estimates JUNE 14-16

Happy Father’s Day! Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, Weekend #24 of 2013 looks like a really good $192 million for the top 12 films, not quite the $200+ million we forecast Wednesday but still up 27% ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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