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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES September 9-11

>Based on Friday and Saturday box office (and estimated Sunday numbers), Contagion is #1 and is headed for a final of about $74 million.  The other openers were either quiet or stillborn.  The Help, now #2, nonetheles...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 16 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

>After a pretty long string of accurate box office predictions, ShowBuzzDaily really missed the boat on The Lion King in 3D.  We were debating between an $11 million or $15 million forecast and decided to go with the lower...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY 9.4.2015 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #36 of 2015 looks like $63 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, actually fairly good versus the norm for the dreadful Labor Day weekend (see track below). Opening at 1,960 theat...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS August 12-14

>Ah, the dog days of summer in August.  It’s the time when studios start dumping movies.  Sure there can be a surprise in this month (see District 9 two years ago this weekend), but the lower box office volume i...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS June 14-16

The 24th weekend of the year is looking like a very good $201 million for the top 12 films, well above the same weekend the last few years.   Opening at over 4,200 theaters Friday (well into the top 10% of theater counts), Man...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS JUNE 3-5

>The past week (seven days ending Sunday) came in up 25% versus last year’s comparable week.  Year-to-date box office is now down 7% versus last year (an improvement of two percentage points from last week).  &n...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY JUNE 21 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, Weekend #25 of 2013 looks like an excellent $223 million for the top 12 films, up 32-42% from the same weekend in recent years.  The two wide openers clicked with audiences, with Monsters Unive...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions MAY 16-18

Weekend #20 of 2014 is looking like a solid $156 million for the top 12 films, 7% above the norm for this mid-May weekend. Opening at over 3,800 theaters Friday (well above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY OCTOBER 28 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

> DreamWorks’ Puss In Boots is opening at a solid #1 but below its forecast.  Paranormal Activity 3 is sporting a 65% decline in its second weekend (just under $20 million for the weekend), but it has nonetheless bee...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions MAY 30-JUNE 1

Weekend #22 of 2014 is looking like a solid $172 million for the top 12 films this weekend, 26% above the norm for this weekend and 7% above the same weekend last year.   Opening at over 3,800 theaters Friday (well above the 2...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES November 11-13

>Based on Friday and Saturday box office (and estimated Sunday numbers), Immortals ($32 million) will beat Jack and Jill ($26 million).  Keep in mind Immortals is playing on many fewer theaters than the Adam Sandler comedy...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Studio Estimates 9.26-28.2014

Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, weekend #39 of 2014 looks like $99 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, 5% above the norm for this weekend ($95 million) and just a shade under yesterday’s esti...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Studio Estimates 3.20-22.2015

Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, weekend #12 of 2015 looks like $123 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, a little better than it looked yesterday but still below the norms for this weekend.   Open...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES November 25-27

>Based on Friday and Saturday box office (and estimated Sunday numbers), Twilight Saga Breaking Dawn Part 1 will drop 70% this weekend but remain at #1, and its final domestic estimate has been upgraded to over $300 million bec...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY 12.26.2014 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #52 of 2014 looks like $192 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, up +21% from the norm for this weekend ($158 million) and up +6% from the same weekend last year.   Opening at 3,...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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