Articles

INTERNATIONAL BOX OFFICE through July 15: The World to Save Ice Age 4 from American Indifference

Posted July 15, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

Ice Age: Continental Drift enters the worldwide box office chart in 5th place among the movie released the last four months.  Our projected $177 million domestic total is at the low end of the franchise (the original Ice Age grossed a similar $176 million domestic, far below the $197 million for Ice Age 3 and $195 million for Ice Age 2). […]

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A SHOWBUZZDAILY Guide To Movie Profitability (Or Not) – Part II: Distribution Fees and Back-End

Posted August 2, 2012 by Mitch Salem

  Yesterday we looked at some of the ways that the costs of producing a feature film are higher and more complicated than they might seem.  Today, some additional obstacles that lie between any movie and profitability.   These may be the most important and least-understood part of profitability calculations.  Every entity that distributes a […]

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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS August 31-September 2

Posted August 29, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #35 of 2012 looks fairly similar to the Labor Day weekends over the past few years.  Only about $81 million for the top 12 films this weekend (defined as the three-day Friday-Sunday portion we always concentrate on), and very little chance of any new film breaking out on what is traditionally a very rough […]

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WEEKLY BOX OFFICE ACTUALS & YEAR TO DATE September 17-23

Posted September 24, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume All films in wide release playing between September 17 and September 23 grossed a weak $107 million, down 12% from the four-year average for the week and down a big 24% from the same week last year.  We have to go back to the same week in 2007 […]

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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS October 26-28

Posted October 24, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

This weekend is on track to be the fifth weekend in a row to be up over the previous years.  None of the openers look like big hits — it’s just that Argo is hanging around very well in its third week and there are more films at or near $10 million this weekend than […]

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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS November 23-25

Posted November 21, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

This weekend is solid but definitely cooler than last weekend’s torrid pace:  $180 million for the top 12 films this Friday-Sunday, up 10% from a typical fourth weekend in November.  The final Twilight installment will remain at the top of the chart this weekend, while Skyfall’s third weekend will challenge the family-friendly Rise of the […]

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WEEKLY BOX OFFICE ACTUALS & YEAR TO DATE December 10-16

Posted December 17, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume All films in wide release playing between December 10 and December 16 grossed a solid $153 million, up 6% from the four-year average for the week and up 12% from the same week last year.  The past six weeks are still 18% above the four-year average and 24% […]

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BEHIND THE FRIDAY BOXOFFICE – 1/4/13

Posted January 5, 2013 by Mitch Salem

  They deleted Massacre from its title, but it’s still mowing down the competition. OPENINGS:  Why does Hollywood make ultraviolent movies?  Because they sell tickets.  TEXAS CHAINSAW (Lionsgate) is overperforming its way to a surprisingly strong weekend win, with $10.2M on its first night.  Horror movies are hugely front-loaded, so it’s unlikely to be higher […]

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