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Weekend Box Office Predictions FEBRUARY 14-16

Posted February 12, 2014 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #7 of 2014 is looking like a great $184 million for the top 12 films, a 40% increase over the average for this weekend the past several years.  The Lego Movie will dominate the box office in its second weekend, but also two new films are set to open to $25 million or more. […]

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Weekend Box Office Forecast AUGUST 8-10

Posted August 6, 2014 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #32 of 2014 is looking like $152 million for the top 12 films this weekend, up 11%from the norm for this weekend and the second up weekend in a row after six straight down weekends. Opening at over 3,700 theaters Friday (above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the last two years), Teenage Mutant […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions 3.20-22.2015

Posted March 18, 2015 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #12 of 2015 is looking like $139 million for the top 12 films this weekend, very much in line with comparable weekends the past few years. Opening at around 3,750 theaters Friday (well above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the last two years), Insurgent from Lionsgate/Summit should average $15,700 per theater for the three-day […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions 7.17-19.2015

Posted July 15, 2015 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #29 of 2015 is looking like $195 million for the top 12 films this weekend, somewhat above the norm for this weekend and way above last year’s very soft weekend (see comparisons below).   Ant-Man from Disney and Marvel should open with a $64.5 million three-day weekend. Early reviews at RottenTomatoes are decent: 75% positive overall so far. Ant-Man is on track […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 10/4/15

Posted October 4, 2015 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  THE MARTIAN (20th) barely missed setting a new October opening record at $55M, just $800K behind Gravity (which had a much shorter running time and the advantage of IMAX ticket prices).  Gravity made it all the way to $274.1M in the US, and although Martian may have a tough time getting near that […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Allegiant” Falls Off the Wall, “Zootopia” Wins Again

Posted March 19, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  The failure of ALLEGIANT (Summit/Lionsgate) puts its studio in an unusually awkward position.  Even though Lionsgate may be able to put the 3rd Divergent movie on its books as a profit (most of the international rights were pre-sold, providing revenues that can off-set the oncoming US losses), the economics are going to get much […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Finding Dory” Locates Record Audiences, “Central Intelligence” OK

Posted June 18, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  In its time of need, Hollywood looked to Pixar for salvation, and FINDING DORY (Pixar/Disney) is delivering.  According to preliminary numbers at Deadline, its opening day was $53M (including $9.2M from Thursday evening), more than any animated film has ever made in a single day, ahead of the $47.1M that Shrek The Third earned […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 12/4/16

Posted December 4, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  The big studios wanted no part of the weekend after Thanksgiving, and the only arrivals were a pair of fringe indies.  Even for a micro-budgeted horror product, INCARNATE (High Top/Blumhouse/Universal) was a flop at $2.7M. In a barely-wide release at 639 theatres, the Christian-themed BELIEVE (Freestyle) attracted no one outside the flock (and […]

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