Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #18 of 2014 looks like $144 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, down 25% from the norm for this weekend.
Opening at 4,324 theaters, The Amazing Spider-Man 2 from Sony grossed $35.5 million late Thursday through Friday, putting the film on track for a $92.3 million opening weekend (somewhat above our $85.5 million ShowbuzzDaily forecast). The film is pacing toward a solid three-day average of $21,300 per theater for the weekend (above the $5,333 opening weekend average for all wide-release films the last two years). Critical sentiment is mediocre (54% positive overall and only 37% positive with top critics). The Amazing Spider-Man 2 is headed for $251 million total domestic, slightly behind the $262.0 million domestic total for The Amazing Spider Man (released July 3, 2012).
The Other Woman is the top holdover,as expected, and its forecast domestic total has been increased to $82 million. Heaven Is for Real is now on track for $89 million, and Captain America: The Winter Soldier is pacing toward $257 million, slightly ahead of Amazing Spider-Man 2.
| Weekend 18: May 2-4, 2014 | ($ millions) | |||||
| Pre-Wknd Showbuzz Forecast | Early Weekend Estimate | Actual Friday Gross | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||
| Amazing Spider-Man 2 | Sony | [85.5] | 92.3 | 35.5 | 251 | |
| The Other Woman | Fox | [13.3] | 14.6 | 4.9 | 82 | |
| Heaven Is For Real | Sony | [9.0] | 8.5 | 2.4 | 89 | |
| Captain America: The Winter Soldier | Dis | [8.3] | 7.6 | 2.1 | 257 | |
| Rio 2 | Fox | [7.5] | 7.3 | 1.7 | 124 | |
| Brick Mansions | Rel | [3.7] | 3.3 | 1.1 | 19 | |
| Divergent | LG/Sum | [2.0] | 2.1 | .62 | 150 | |
| The Quiet Ones | LG/Sum | [—] | 2.0 | .67 | 7 | |
| Grand Budapest Hotel | FoxS | [—] | 1.8 | .48 | 58 | |
| God’s Not Dead | Free | [—] | 1.7 | .51 | 62 | |
| Bears | Dis | [2.2] | 1.4 | .45 | 23 | |
| Draft Day | LG/Sum | [1.5] | 1.4 | .41 | 30 | |
| Transcendence | WB | [1.7] | 1.1 | .34 | 21 | |
Note: The table above summarizes an early look at the weekend. The first column is a reminder of each film’s ShowBuzzDaily Forecast for the weekend (in brackets). The second column, on which the films are sorted, displays the new weekend projection for each film, based on the Friday numbers (the third column). The final column is a preliminary estimate of the ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Total number for the film’s total run in North America. A “++” indicates the Domestic number has been upgraded; a “–” indicates a downgrade.
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are looking like $144 million total Friday-Sunday, down 25% from the four-year average for the comparable weekend and down 32% from the really weak total the same weekend last year.
| WEEKEND 18 | ($ millions) | ||
| Weekend Volume: Top 12 Films | Top Movies Opening Each Weekend (Fri-Sun only) | ||
| 2014 | $144 | Amazing Spider-Man 2 $92.3 | |
| 2013 | $211 | Iron Man 3 $174.1, Mud $2.2 | |
| 2012 | $250 | Marvel’s The Avengers $207.4 | |
| 2011 | $155 | Thor $65.7, Jumping the Broom $15.2, Something Borrowed $13.9 | |
| 2010 | $171 | Iron Man 2 $128.1, Babies $2.2 | |
| Avg 2010-13 | $192 | ||
Check back tomorrow for more complete Weekend Studio Estimates based on Saturday’s actual box office, as well as the International Box Office report.
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