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November 22, 2011
 

FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS and YEAR TO DATE November 14-20

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Written by: Mitch Metcalf
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>The year to-date box office tally picked up some ground versus last year with the past week running 12% ahead of the same week last year.  The actual weekend openings for Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 and Happy Feet Two came in somewhat below the studio projections issued Sunday.         


The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume

All films in wide release playing between November 14 and November 20 grossed $242 million, up 12% from the same week in 2010 and up a more modest 3% from the average comparable week the past four years.  Year to date, all films are now down 3.5% from the same period last year (down significantly from -3.9% last week).    

All Films November 14-20
(millions)           4yr              vs      vs
             2010    Avg     2011    2010    Avg

Week #45     $215    $235    $242    +12%
    + 3%

Year to Date $8998   $8557   $8680   -3.5%   +1.4%



Updated Estimates of Final Grosses

The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Grosses (the estimated North American gross when the film ends its run) are summarized below for films released the last six weeks.  Pay attention to the final domestic grosses, which are much more important than individual weekend grosses and especially weekend rankings. 

Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 $289 million (96 percentile)
Puss in Boots $157 million (89 percentile)
Paranormal Activity 3 $103 million (79 percentile)
Happy Feet Two $83 million (72 million)
Immortals $79 million (71 percentile)
Tower Heist $71 million (67 percentile)
Jack and Jill $63 million (64 percentile)

Footloose $53 million (58 percentile) 
A Very Harold & Kumar 3D Christmas $36 million (43 percentile)
J. Edgar $34 million (41 percentile)
The Three Musketeers $18 million (18 percentile) 
Johnny English Reborn $8 million (4 percentile)

Weekend Actuals vs Sunday’s Studio Projections 



The weekend Studio Projection (Friday and Saturday actual numbers with estimates for Sunday’s box office) were overly optimistic for Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 ($1.4 million higher than the actual weekend number reported today) as well as Happy Feet Two ($800,000 higher than the actual).  The rest of the studio projections were fairly close to the actuals for the holdover movies.    

      Weekend of                 Sunday    Monday   Showbuzz
      November 14-20             Studio    Weekend  Domestic
      (millions)                Estimate   Actual    Total

Twilight Breaking Dawn 1  (Sum)   $139.5   $138.1    $289
Happy Feet Two             (WB)   $22.0    $21.2     $ 83
Immortals                 (Rel)   $12.5    $12.4     $ 79–
Jack and Jill            (Sony)   $12.0    $11.7     $ 63–
Puss in Boots          (DW/Par)   $10.7    $10.8     $157–
Tower Heist               (Uni)   $ 6.9    $ 7.1     $ 71
J. Edgar                   (WB)   $ 5.9    $ 5.9     $ 34
A Very Harold & Kumar      (WB)   $ 2.9    $ 2.9     $ 36
In Time                   (Fox)   $ 1.6    $ 1.7     $ 37
Paranormal Activity 3     (Par)   $ 1.0    $ 1.0     $103

The International Box Office Numbers are available here.



About the Author

Mitch Metcalf
MITCH METCALF has been tracking every US film release of over 500 screens (over 2300 movies and counting) since the storied weekend of May 20, 1994, when Maverick and Beverly Hills Cop 3 inspired countless aficionados to devote their lives to the art of cinema. Prior to that, he studied Politics and Economics at Princeton in order to prepare for his dream of working in television. He has been Head of West Coast Research at ABC, then moved to NBC in 2000 and became Head of Scheduling for 11 years.