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The past week (seven days ending Sunday) came in up 25% versus last year’s comparable week (the first significant increase in five weeks). Year-to-date box office is now down 7% versus last year.
The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume
All films in wide release playing between July 11 and July 17 grossed $331 million, up 25% versus the same week in 2010 and up 17% from the average comparable week the past four years. Year to date, all films are down 7% from the same period last year (down from -9% last week), and all films year-to-date are flat versus the comparable year-to-date number averaged over the last four years.
All Films July 11-17
(millions) 4yr vs vs
2010 Avg 2011 2010 Avg
Week #28 $266 $276 $331 +25% +17%
Year to Date $6079 $5648 $5641
– 7% – 0%
Updated Estimates of Final Grosses
The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Grosses (the estimated North American gross when the film ends its run) are now:
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 ($435 million, 99th percentile for all wide releases the past two years)
Transformers: Dark of the Moon ($373 million, 99th percentile)
Cars 2 ($188 million, 92nd percentile)
Super 8 ($130 million, 85th percentile)
Green Lantern ($114 million, 82nd percentile)
Horrible Bosses ($109 million, 78th percentile)
Bad Teacher ($102 million, 79th percentile)
Zookeeper ($71 million, 67th percentile)
Mr Popper’s Penguins ($67 million, 66th percentile)
Larry Crowne ($37 million, 44th percentile)
Winnie the Pooh ($32 million, 38th percentile)
Monte Carlo ($24 million, 25th percentile)
Weekend Actuals vs Sunday’s Studio Projections
The weekend Studio Projections (Friday and Saturday actual numbers with estimates for Sunday’s box office) for virtually every movie were surprisingly predictive of the actual weekend figures out today.
Weekend of Sunday Monday Showbuzz
July 11-17 Studio Weekend Domestic
(millions) Estimate Actual Total
Harry Potter 8 (WB) $168 $169 $435
Transformers 3 (Par) $21.3 $21.3 $373
Horrible Bosses (WB) $17.6 $17.8 $109+
Zookeeper (Sony) $12.3 $12.3 $ 71+
Cars 2 (Dis) $ 8.3 $ 8.4 $188
Winnie the Pooh (Dis) $ 8.0 $ 7.9 $ 32
Bad Teacher (Sony) $ 5.2 $ 5.2 $102
Larry Crowne (Uni) $ 2.6 $ 2.7 $ 37
Super 8 (Par) $ 1.9 $ 2.0 $130
Midnight in Paris (Sony) $ 1.9 $ 1.9 $ 48
Look for the Summer Movie Draft update later today (Monday).
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