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Oscar Odds: After the Nominations

Posted January 10, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

With the announcement of the Oscar nominations today, Lincoln only became more of a favorite by London oddsmakers (moving from a payout of about $1.80 on a $1 bet last week to about $1.40 today).   The odds got a bit longer for Les Miserables and Argo, but Zero Dark Thirty had the biggest swing (from a payout of about $5.50 last […]

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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES March 1-3

Posted March 3, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

Based on Saturday’s grosses, Weekend #9 of 2013 is a little better than it appeared yesterday but still down 38% from the same weekend the last few years.  Jack the Giant Slayer opened reasonably well, but there are no others films doing significant business (weekends over $10 million).  What a mess.         […]

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Box Office Year to Date

Posted April 16, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

Through 14 weeks of the year, 2013 totals $2.232 billion (for wide-release films that have played at more than 400 theaters).  This remains well behind the 2012 pace ($2.624 billion) and the very similar 2010 pace ($2.618 billion).  However, 2013 continues to pull away from the particularly slow performance in 2011 ($2.071 billion). As a […]

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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS May 31-June 2

Posted May 29, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

The 22nd weekend of the year is looking like a very good $186 million for the top 12 films, up 30% or more from the same weekend in previous years.    Opening at over 3,000 theaters Friday (a slightly above average theater count), After Earth from Sony and starring Will and Jaden Smith should average $12,100 […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions July 12-14

Posted July 10, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

The 28th weekend of the year is looking like a very good $209 million for the top 12 films, up 15% from the comparable weekend the last few years. Opening at around 3,000 theaters Friday (somewhat above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends), Grown Ups 2 from Sony should average $15,300 per theater for the three-day weekend (for a $45.5 […]

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Year to Date Box Office & Studio Scorecard

Posted August 11, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

STUDIO SCORECARD. Warner Brothers has moved past Universal to take the #2 spot on the worldwide box office chart for 2013.  The opening of We’re the Millers and continued overseas strength from Pacific Rim and to a lesser extent The Conjuring powered Warner Brothers to the best week of the studios. Reminder: the chart below has been reformatted and expanded […]

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Weekly Box Office Predictions SEPTEMBER 27-29

Posted September 25, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

The 39th weekend of the year is looking like a good $114 million for the top 12 films, up 22% from the $94 million multi-year average for this weekend. Opening at over 3,800 theaters Friday (way above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the last two years), Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 from Sony should average […]

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Weekend Studio Estimates NOVEMBER 8-10

Posted November 10, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, Weekend #45 of 2013 looks like $161 million for the top 12 films, not the record we had forecast but still 21% above the recent average for this weekend. Opening at 3,841 theaters Friday, Thor: The Dark World from Disney and Marvel grossed $31.6 million Friday and $31.7 million Saturday, now on […]

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