November 12, 2012


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Written by: Mitch Metcalf
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The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume

All films in wide release playing between November 5 and November 11 grossed an excellent $207 million, up 22% from the four-year average for the week and up 30% from the same week last year.   

The past six weeks are now 12% above the four-year average and a very big 23% above the same six-week period last year.  

Year to date box office (now over $8.5 billion for wide-release films) is 5% above the average for the same period the last four years and now 6% ahead of the same period last year.

Domestic Box Office Volume: All Wide-Release Films through November 11, 2012 ($ millions)  2012 vs 2011  2012 vs 4yr Avg
2011 4-year Average 2012
Week #45 $160 $169 $207 +30% +22%
Past Six Weeks $792 $872 $977 +23% +12%
Year to Date $8,096 $8,118 $8,564 +6% +5%


Weekend Actuals versus Studio Estimate

Another round of very accurate studio estimates this weekend.

Skyfall came in officially at $88,364,714 for its opening weekend, up only 0.6% from the Sony estimate Sunday.  

Wreck-It Ralph came in at $33,012,796 in its second weekend, within 0.1% of the Disney Sunday estimate.


Updated Estimates of Final Grosses

The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Grosses (the estimated North American gross when the film ends its run) are summarized below for films released the last six weeks. Pay attention to the final domestic grosses, which are much more important than individual weekend grosses and especially weekend rankings.  

Updated ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Final Estimates Domestic Final Gross ($ millions) percentile
Skyfall 208 94
Wreck-It Ralph 183 93
Taken 2 142 87
Argo 105 81
Flight 87 73
Paranormal Activity 4 52 51
Sinister 50 51
Here Comes the Boom 45 49
Frankenweenie 35 34
Cloud Atlas 30 28
Alex Cross 24 21
Man with the Iron Fists 18 13
Seven Psychopaths 17 11
Silent Hill: Revelation 3D 15 10
Fun Size 10 4
Chasing Mavericks 6 1


Weekend Predictions for November 12-18 should be posted Wednesday.  This weekend features the wide opening of Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 (from Summit) at over 4,000 theaters and the expansion of Lincoln (from Disney) to about 1,500 theaters.


About the Author

Mitch Metcalf
MITCH METCALF has been tracking every US film release of over 500 screens (over 2300 movies and counting) since the storied weekend of May 20, 1994, when Maverick and Beverly Hills Cop 3 inspired countless aficionados to devote their lives to the art of cinema. Prior to that, he studied Politics and Economics at Princeton in order to prepare for his dream of working in television. He has been Head of West Coast Research at ABC, then moved to NBC in 2000 and became Head of Scheduling for 11 years.