October 8, 2012


More articles by »
Written by: Mitch Metcalf
Tags: , , , , , , ,

The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume

All films in wide release playing between October 1 and October 7 grossed a very strong $163 million, up 36% from the four-year average for the week and up 41% from the same week last year.   During the week of October 3-9, 2011, four films grossed $10 million or more (and only one was significantly above that level): Real Steel ($27 million), Dolphin Tale ($12 million), Moneyball ($11 million) and Ides of March ($10 million).   This past week, there were five films above $10 million (with four significantly above that level):  Taken 2 ($50 million), Hotel Transylvania ($34 million), Looper ($19 million), Pitch Perfect ($17 million) and Frankenweenie ($11 million).

The past six weeks are now 1% above the four-year average box office average but still 3% behind the same six-week period last year.  Year to date box office (closing in on $7.8 billion for wide-release films) is stubbornly 5% above the average for the past four years and 4% ahead of last year at this time.

Domestic Box Office Volume: All Wide-Release Films through October 7, 2012 ($ millions)  2012 vs 2011  2012 vs 4yr Avg
2011 4-year Average 2012
Week #40 $116 $119 $163 +41% +36%
Past Six Weeks $756 $729 $736 -3% +1%
Year to Date $7,420 $7,366 $7,750 +4% +5%


Weekend Actuals versus Studio Estimate

Taken 2 came in officially at $49,514,769 today for its opening weekend, down 1.0% from the 20th Century Fox estimate Sunday morning.  

Frankenweenie came in at $11,412,213 in its opening weekend, down a similar 0.8% from the Disney estimate.


Updated Estimates of Final Grosses

The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Grosses (the estimated North American gross when the film ends its run) are summarized below for films released the last six weeks. Pay attention to the final domestic grosses, which are much more important than individual weekend grosses and especially weekend rankings.  

Updated ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Final Estimates Domestic Final Gross ($ millions) percentile
Hotel Transylvania 145 88
Taken 2 136 87
Looper 72 64
Pitch Perfect 69 64
The Possession 50 51
End of Watch 46 49
Finding Nemo 3D 45 49
Frankenweenie 42 45
Resident Evil: Retribution 41 45
Trouble with the Curve 39 43
Lawless 38 42
House at the End of the Street 33 33
The Master 20 15
Dredd 3D 14 10
The Words 12 6
Won’t Back Down 5 1


Weekend Predictions October 12-14 should be posted Wednesday.  This weekend features the openings of Argo (thriller), Here Comes the Boom (comedy), Sinister (horror), Seven Psychopaths (action comedy) and Atlas Shrugged: Part II (drama).


About the Author

Mitch Metcalf
MITCH METCALF has been tracking every US film release of over 500 screens (over 2300 movies and counting) since the storied weekend of May 20, 1994, when Maverick and Beverly Hills Cop 3 inspired countless aficionados to devote their lives to the art of cinema. Prior to that, he studied Politics and Economics at Princeton in order to prepare for his dream of working in television. He has been Head of West Coast Research at ABC, then moved to NBC in 2000 and became Head of Scheduling for 11 years.