ALIEN: COVENANT (TSG/20th) was supposed to refresh the franchise after the disenchanted response to Prometheus, but it’s opening at the low end of expectations.  Preliminary numbers at Deadline put opening day at $15.2M (including $4.2M from Thursday night), which suggests a $38M weekend.  Covenant carries about $225M in production/marketing costs, and it may not […]

  OPENINGS:  Word of mouth caught up with THE EMOJI MOVIE (Columbia/Sony) on Saturday, with a 14% drop (by comparison, Captain Underpants rose 11% on its 2d day of release, and last year’s Angry Birds Movie jumped 47%), but a $25.7M weekend is still good money for a movie no one seems to like.  (The […]

The fifth weekend of 2013 should total a bad $70 million for the top 12 films, 30% below the normal pace for this weekend. Opening in about 2,900 theaters Friday, Warm Bodies from Summit should average $6,900 per theater for the weekend (for a $20.0 million opening weekend).  [The average wide-release film the past two years […]

  OPENINGS:  The news was good and bad for POWER RANGERS (Lionsgate).  Its US opening was very solid at $40.5M (even if that number turns out to be a bit overstated, with an ambitious Sunday estimate).  But it carries at least $200M in production/marketing costs, and to reach profit, it also needs to be strong […]

Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, Weekend #39 of 2013 looks like an okay $98 million for the top 12 films, up 5% from the average for the same weekend the past few years. Opening at 4,001 theaters Friday, Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 from Sony grossed $9.3 million Friday and $15.2 million Saturday, now on […]

Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, weekend #18 of 2015 now looks like $221 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, down from yesterday’s estimate ($249 million) but still above the norm for this weekend as summer gets going early.  Saturday was fairly soft at the box office because of a huge day in TV sports […]

WORLDWIDE STUDIO SCORECARD.  Updated look at 2016 by studio.   YEAR TO DATE BOX OFFICE. Looking at North American box office, 2016 to date is now even with last year and still +2% above the average for this point the past four years ($5.943 billion).  Over the same period, Hollywood films have grossed $15.3 billion worldwide when […]

Weekend #39 of 2016 forecasts for films opening wide and major returning films: NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND September 23-25, 2016 Critics Positive ($ millions) Opening Weekend Forecast Domestic Total Projection Overseas Total Projection Worldwide Total Projection The Magnificent Seven Sony PG13 60% 47.5 140 110 250 Storks WB PG 58% 33.5 125 180 305 Note: Although critic […]