Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #18 of 2014 looks like $144 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, down 25% from the norm for this weekend.   Opening at 4,324 theaters, The Amazing Spider-Man 2 from Sony grossed $35.5 million late Thursday through Friday, putting the film on track for a $92.3 million opening weekend (somewhat above our […]

  CARS 3 (Pixar/Disney) will have a strong Fathers Day, which in turn will make its weekend multiple look good, but it’s off to a disappointing start.  In preliminary numbers at Deadline, its opening day is pegged at $19.1M (including $2.8M from Thursday night), down 25% from the first day of 2011’s Cars 2 ($25.7M), […]

This is a well-designed weekend for Hollywood, with a trio of sensibly-budgeted franchise titles all drawing audiences from their mostly separate target demos.  The Friday winner, according to preliminary numbers at Deadline, was FIFTY SHADES DARKER (Universal), with $20M ($5.7M of it from Thursday night).  That’s about 2/3 of the $30.3M opening day for Fifty […]

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #31 of 2014 looks like $173 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, well above our forecast ($150 million) and 34% above the norm for this weekend ($129 million). Opening at 4,080 theaters, Guardians of the Galaxy from Disney and Marvel grossed $37.7 million through Friday and is on track for a […]

>This weekend is looking even weaker than expected.  The top 12 films should total only $73 million, down 7% from the same weekend last year. Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 remains in the top spot, a little better than forecast ($16.5 weekend versus a $14.8 million forecast).  The Muppets while drop a very bad […]

>After a pretty long string of accurate box office predictions, ShowBuzzDaily really missed the boat on The Lion King in 3D.  We were debating between an $11 million or $15 million forecast and decided to go with the lower number.  But wow was there interest in the 3D version of the Disney classic: an estimated […]

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #42 of 2014 looks like a decent $126 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, 13% above the norm for this weekend ($111 million). Opening at 3,173 theaters, Fury from Sony grossed $8.8 million Friday and is on track for a $25.1 million opening three-day weekend (somewhat below our $30.0 million […]

  The gamble of CRAZY RICH ASIANS (Color Force/SK Global/Warners) is paying off with solid returns.  The film opened on Wednesday and earned $8.8M in its first two days, and preliminary numbers at Deadline have its Friday at $7M.  That should give it a $21M 3-day weekend and around $30M since opening day.  A $70M […]