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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS November 23-25

Posted November 21, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

This weekend is solid but definitely cooler than last weekend’s torrid pace:  $180 million for the top 12 films this Friday-Sunday, up 10% from a typical fourth weekend in November.  The final Twilight installment will remain at the top of the chart this weekend, while Skyfall’s third weekend will challenge the family-friendly Rise of the […]

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WEEKLY BOX OFFICE ACTUALS & YEAR TO DATE December 10-16

Posted December 17, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume All films in wide release playing between December 10 and December 16 grossed a solid $153 million, up 6% from the four-year average for the week and up 12% from the same week last year.  The past six weeks are still 18% above the four-year average and 24% […]

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BEHIND THE FRIDAY BOXOFFICE – 1/4/13

Posted January 5, 2013 by Mitch Salem

  They deleted Massacre from its title, but it’s still mowing down the competition. OPENINGS:  Why does Hollywood make ultraviolent movies?  Because they sell tickets.  TEXAS CHAINSAW (Lionsgate) is overperforming its way to a surprisingly strong weekend win, with $10.2M on its first night.  Horror movies are hugely front-loaded, so it’s unlikely to be higher […]

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BEHIND THE WEEKEND BOXOFFICE – 2/10/13

Posted February 10, 2013 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  Melissa McCarthy is now a genuine Hollywood player with the enormous debut of IDENTITY THIEF (Universal), beating all pre-release estimates with $36.6M.  (Take that, Rex Reed!)  Apart from Universal, the happiest studio in town is Fox, which has the McCarthy/Sandra Bullock vehicle The Heat coming up in the thick of summer movie season […]

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This Year’s Box Office Softness — Not At All Unprecedented

Posted March 12, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

Nine weeks into 2013, the North American box office is down significantly from last year (-19%).  But it’s more interesting when we look back at the a longer period — in this case, the last six years.  Half of those years resemble this year, and the other half resemble “up” years like 2012.  Those up […]

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INTERNATIONAL BOX OFFICE through April 7

Posted April 7, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

Updated International Box Office tracking chart:

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EARLY “IRON MAN 3” WEEKEND BOXOFFICE – 5/4/13

Posted May 5, 2013 by Mitch Salem

  Preliminary numbers at Deadline have IRON MAN 3 (Disney) dropping just 6% on Saturday to $64M.  If that number holds, it’s quite a good hold for a blockbuster of this magnitude–in comparison, The Avengers fell 14% on its second day, and Iron Man 2 went down 11%.  (The original Iron Man actually rose 6% on its […]

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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS May 31-June 2

Posted May 29, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

The 22nd weekend of the year is looking like a very good $186 million for the top 12 films, up 30% or more from the same weekend in previous years.    Opening at over 3,000 theaters Friday (a slightly above average theater count), After Earth from Sony and starring Will and Jaden Smith should average $12,100 […]

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