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Weekend Box Office Predictions 12.4-6.2015

Posted December 3, 2015 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #49 of 2015 is looking like a decent $94 million for the top 12 films this weekend, actually better than what we usually see on one of the slowest weekends of the year (see comparisons below). Krampus from Universal should open with $12.0 million Friday-Sunday. The film is on track for around $26 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions 2.26-28.2016

Posted February 25, 2016 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #9 of 2016 is looking like $98 million for the top 12 films this weekend, somewhat below the norm for this weekend (see comparisons below). NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND February 26-28, 2016 Critics Positive ($ millions) Opening Weekend Forecast Domestic Total Projection Overseas Total Projection Worldwide Total Projection Gods of Egypt LG PG13 n/a 11.5 30 175 […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “X-Men: Apocalypse” Underwhelms, “Alice 2″” Flops

Posted May 28, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  Franchises are the lifeblood of Hollywood, so it has to chill studios to see three of those entries falter in a single 2-weekend period, especially since the stakes are higher for this week’s arrivals than last week’s Neighbors 2. Based on the preliminary $27M Friday number at Deadline, X-MEN: APOCALYPSE (TSG/20th) is running almost […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Sausage Party” Feasts, “Suicide Squad” Dives, “Pete’s Dragon” OK

Posted August 13, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  After a summer of fizzled franchise movies, audiences were–pardon the expression–hungry for something new, and the unquestionably unique, hard-R existential talking food cartoon SAUSAGE PARTY (Annapurna/Columbia/Sony) is satisfying that appetite.  According to preliminary numbers at Deadline, Sausage is going to win Friday with $13.3M ($3.3M from Thursday night shows), although it’s likely to be […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Arrival” Overperforms, But “Strange” & “Trolls” Take Veterans Day

Posted November 12, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  Veterans Day isn’t considered one of the major Hollywood holidays, but this year it provided some 3-day weekends that boosted Friday numbers (although that may catch up with some totals over the weekend and when next week is compared to it). The other note for the weekend is that all three of the major […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Logan” Huge, But “Get Out” Holds & “The Shack” Solid

Posted March 4, 2017 by Mitch Salem

  This weekend was expected to belong to LOGAN (TSG/20th), and the R-rated, critically acclaimed superhero drama is delivering in a big way.  Preliminary numbers at Deadline have opening day at $32M (including $8.5M from Thursday night), about 2/3 of Deadpool‘s first day, which was itself boosted by a 4-day holiday weekend.  Among R-rated action […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 6.25.2017

Posted June 25, 2017 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  For a Wednesday opening, TRANSFORMERS: THE LAST KNIGHT (Huahua/Paramount) had a fairly good 27% Saturday bump in the US (by comparison, 2011’s Dark of the Moon went up just 5% on its parallel day), which pushed the weekend estimate a bit to $45.3M, giving the film $69.1M over 5 days.  That’s still far […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 10.29.2017

Posted October 29, 2017 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  JIGSAW (Lionsgate) had a better Saturday hold than Saw VI (down 21% instead of 32%), and that saved it from having the lowest opening weekend of the franchise.  However, its $16.3M start is still far below the $24.2M for the last installment Saw 3D, which killed off the series for 7 years.  Jigsaw […]

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