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Weekend Box Office Predictions MARCH 7-9

Posted March 5, 2014 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #10 of 2014 is looking like $127 million for the top 12 films, right in line with the same weekend the last few years.  Opening at around 3,400 theaters Friday (well above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the last two years), 300: Rise of an Empire from Warner Brothers should average a solid $10,800 per theater […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions SEP 5-7

Posted September 3, 2014 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #36 of 2014 is looking like $54 million for the top 12 films this weekend, down 13% from the norm for this weekend, which is usually the weakest weekend of the year.  In the last two years, this weekend has produced Riddick, The Words and The Cold Light of Day.  But those look like […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions 4.17-19.2015

Posted April 15, 2015 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #16 of 2015 is looking like $119 million for the top 12 films this weekend, right in line with the norm for this weekend. Opening at around 3,600 theaters Friday (above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the last two years), Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2 from Sony should average $6,900 per theater for the […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Pixels” A Moderate Gamer, “Paper Towns” and “Southpaw” Soft

Posted July 25, 2015 by Mitch Salem

  PIXELS (Columbia/Sony) was marketed on its high concept rather than as an Adam Sandler star vehicle, perhaps reflecting not just Sandler’s dwindling value, but the shuttering of his long-term acting relationship with the studio as he moves to Netflix.  The result was better than some of Sandler’s recent flops, but far from exciting:  according […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions 10.16-18.2015

Posted October 14, 2015 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #42 of 2015 is looking like $125 million for the top 12 films this weekend, somewhat above the norm for this weekend (see comparisons below). Goosebumps from Sony should open with a $27.5 million weekend. The film is on track for around $95 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $185 million, giving it a worldwide box […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Box Office – 3/27/16

Posted March 27, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  BATMAN V SUPERMAN: DAWN OF JUSTICE (DC/RatPac/Warners) weathered a 38% Saturday drop and is currently estimating a $170.1M weekend.  That would make it Warners’ #1 US opening ever, beating the final Harry Potter‘s $169.2M, but that includes an aggressive Easter Sunday estimate, so it may fall behind by tomorrow.  (Depending on how that […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 6/26/16

Posted June 26, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  INDEPENDENCE DAY: RESURGENCE (20th) is the latest indication that audiences may be tiring of massive CG spectacles–which is bad news for the major studios, since they’ve concentrated most of their line-ups into that genre.  ID:R‘s $41.6M weekend is mediocre at best for a would-be blockbuster with $300M+ in worldwide costs, suggesting a US […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Box Office – 12/18/16

Posted December 18, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  For ROGUE ONE (Lucasfilm/Disney), massive success was taken for granted, and the question was how big a standalone spin-off entry in the Star Wars canon could be.  The answer is pretty damn big:  its $155M US opening weekend is the 12th highest ever, and #3 for the year (behind $179.1M for Captain America: […]

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