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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS April 27-29

Posted April 26, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

>Weekend #17 of 2012 looks like it will be about $112 million for the top 12 films, down 23% from last year’s comparable weekend (when Fast Five exploded with an $86 million opening weekend) and down 17% from the four-year average for this weekend.  A lack of compelling new product should make this weekend the […]

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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS September 16-18

Posted September 15, 2011 by Mitch Metcalf

> A rather sleepy weekend ahead, most likely down about 15% from the same weekend last year.  No dominant openers arrive Friday, leaving the weekend Contagion’s to lose.   Opening at more than 2,400 theaters in North America by FilmDistrict, Drive should average $5,000 per theater (for $12 million for Friday-Sunday).  (All films the last two years […]

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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS June 15-17 — Adam Sandler & Tom Cruise’s Weekend of the Banal

Posted June 13, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #24 of 2012 looks like it will total a just okay $146 million for the top 12 films, down 1% from last year’s comparable weekend and down 6% from the four-year average for the weekend.  Two films with once-big stars should open with just under $30 million each.  Not an embarrassment to be sure, […]

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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS February 8-10

Posted February 6, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

The sixth weekend of 2013 looks like another very bad one.  Only $78 million for the top 12 films, over 50% below the normal pace for this weekend.  That’s three down weekends in a row, and the year-over-year declines are accelerating each week.  Now before you think there is a “slump” caused by piracy, streaming, […]

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BEHIND THE WEEKEND BOX OFFICE – 8/4/13

Posted August 4, 2013 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  With a $27.4M start, 2 GUNS (Universal) is probably headed for $85M in the US, a fair if unexciting return for a movie that claims to have (post-tax credits) a $61M production budget.  With Universal taking its marketing expenses and distribution fees off the top, there won’t be much profit for financiers Emmett-Furia […]

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BEHIND THE FRIDAY BOX OFFICE – 12/27/13

Posted December 28, 2013 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  THE WOLF OF WALL STREET (Paramount/Red Granite) fell behind American Hustle on Friday, dropping 6% to $6.3M, but considering that it’s a polarizing, 3-hour, hard-R saga that people aren’t even sure whether to call a black comedy or a drama, that’s still a fine result, and the film is likely to earn $50M+ […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions MAY 30-JUNE 1

Posted May 28, 2014 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #22 of 2014 is looking like a solid $172 million for the top 12 films this weekend, 26% above the norm for this weekend and 7% above the same weekend last year.   Opening at over 3,800 theaters Friday (well above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the last two years), Maleficent from Disney should average […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions 1.9-11.2015

Posted January 7, 2015 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #2 of 2015 is looking like $118 million for the top 12 films this weekend, very close to the norm for this weekend and down slightly from the same weekend last year. Opening at 3,500 theaters Friday (above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the last two years), Taken 3 from Fox should average a decent $8,700 per […]

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