The domestic box office was down again this week, making five out of the past six weeks down significantly from prior years.  We took a look at how the past six weeks collectively stack up to prior years — mid-May through late-June 2012 is almost a 10-year low. The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume […]

Team Salem’s top pick (Pixar’s Brave) opened this weekend, helping increase the slate to $290 million, up almost $97 million from last week.  Meanwhile, continued strong business from Madagascar 3 and a few others pushed Team Metcalf’s almost-fully-release slate up a similar amount over the last week (up $95 million) to $1.17 billion.   Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter pushed […]

Pixar’s Brave has a modest $13.5 million overseas to date, obviously with a big international potential as it rolls out around the world.  Pixar films generally have a healthy multiple over the domestic gross, which we are projecting to be $219 million based on the opening weekend.  An overseas target of $320 million seems reasonable […]

  OPENINGS:  BRAVE (Pixar/Disney) opened right in the Pixar range at $66.7M.  That’s better than WALL-E ($63.1M), not quite as good as Up ($68.1M).  Those 2 movies ended up with $224M and $293M, respectively, so the magnitude of Brave‘s success has yet to be determined.  The film is in only 10 overseas territories, where it grossed $13.5M for […]

The weekend continues to look very similar to the way it did yesterday morning.  Brave now looks like a $66.7 million opening weekend, according to the studio estimate this morning (exceeding our forecast in Wednesday’s ShowbuzzDaily Weekend Predictions).  Animation takes the second spot this weekend, with Madagascar 3 on track for over $20 million, a […]

Not the disaster we expected, the 25th weekend of 2012 is looking like $158 million for the Top 12 films Friday-Sunday, down 7% from this weekend last year and down 10% from a more normal third weekend in June.  Brave is on track to open solidly (about $7 million more than forecast for the weekend), […]

Weekend #25 of 2012 looks like another disappointment: a soft $150 million for the top 12 films, down 12% from last year’s comparable weekend and down 14% from the four-year average for the weekend.  Pixar’s Brave should open well, but the other two openers will struggle to find any audience and there certainly won’t be […]

The domestic box office was back down this week.  Volatility has been the operative word recently.  The first two weeks of May (April 30-May 13) were up more than 35% each from prior years, followed by the next three weeks (May 14-June 3) which were down around 15% each week.  Then last week was up […]